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You seem to forget that in the first Trump term, he didn't control all branches of government.
If someone says they're going to be a dictator and commit genocide, BELIEVE THEM.
"He's probably not going to do it" is a ridiculous position to take.
No, but he controlled enough to do plenty of policy in the direction that he'd been implying, and didn't.
You are entitled to your opinion. I do not agree with it, and feel that I've spent enough time looking into the details of his first term to have formed my position on a fair bit of what he's done. I also think that if you think that it is outrageous for sources that you agree with on other matters -- like ProPublica -- to say similar things, it might be worth considering whether they might have a reason to say what they are saying.
I think that the only reason that Trump's statements are afforded much weight is because other Presidents have generally not engaged in this kind of stuff, certainly not to his degree, have worked to build the credibility of Presidential statements. I would judge Trump in the light of the credibility of his own past claims, which are exceptionally poor.
The election is over, and Trump is going to take office, so at this point, politicking isn't going to affect that. In four years, we can revisit this and look back at predictions and see whether this time around the US has become a dictatorship or whatever. My prediction is that Trump Term Two will look a very great deal like Trump Term One, with the same flood of outrageous statements and same plain Jane policy.
Would you tell an undocumented immigrant or a trans person to not worry because Trump doesn't follow up on his claims and neither do all the people who are working for him? I hope not.
I definitely hope not.
Just because Trump lies a lot doesn't mean nothing is going to happen. Especially not when all the people who are part of his administration are backing him up on it. And Project 2025. And plenty of members of congress.
But sure, they're all lying. No one has anything to worry about. They'll be just as safe as they were under Biden and Obama. After all, like you suggested, Trump didn't do anything all that bad last time.
Trump and his whole planned administration and all those congresspeople and Project 2025... all a lie. Don't worry about it. Everyone will be safe. There won't be a any genocide. All of those people are just playing pretend.
When it comes to crimes against humanity, Trump will do as much as he can until he is stopped. He likes performative cruelty. As for promises of prosperity for the MAGidiots, those were just lies to grab votes, he won't do anything for those lumpen nitwits since there's nothing in it for him.