this post was submitted on 04 Aug 2023
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You know what the problem with space travel is?
Every 'what if' question is answered with 'you die.'
What if there's a leak in the spacecraft? What if we run out of food? What if we veer off course? What if the thrusters fail? etc.
I highly doubt and I'll put $100 down that this doesn't happen in 2050 because the difficulties and infrastructure just aren't there for 1000 or even 100 people to do this.
Ok, but 2025 is over 25 years away. If he can get people to sign on then he can get some money coming in, and he'll be a billionaire running away to Brazil long before 2050. It seems to me that his plan is solid.
.... You know what, that's an excellent idea.
Hey do you want to go to live on Mars? I have a solid plan and you can put a downpayment right now to secure your seat! Hurry, only 3 spots remaining!
Sorry, you've got to come up with something unique. You can't just copy Mars One. At least pick a new planet! (It sounds like Venus is taken now as well, you snooze you lose)
Ah sheeit, well if we can't go up then we must go down! Journey to the centre of the earth where it's probably going to be colder than up here in 25 years!
Now you're talking! Where can I sign up? I have more money than sense so I'd be willing to throw a few hundred thousand for a ticket, or even a million if you'll put me on the first trip!
Jules Verne already went there, durr. It's where the dinosaurs migrated to! Wait.. Dino safari?
(you guys are hilarious)
It's called Agarta bro, that's where the dinosaurs went
Mercury or bust
Living the Belter life
I mean, they had a leak in the ISS, and they just covered it with tape and carried on.
Because they could get more air, they just had to nip down the gravity well. That's a longer jog on Venus.
I mean, not every what if, some at least leave the possibility to address the situation, consider the case of Apollo 13 for example. A great many risks can also be reduced with redundancy, for example, having your maneuvering systems fail is not as bad if your craft has an extra set of maneuvering thrusters. Air travel has similarly high risk of death if major components fail, and yet that has been made safe enough to be made commonplace.
I agree that it won't happen by 2050 though. We've never sent humans on an interplanetary mission before, development of new spacecraft takes many years, especially manned systems, and Venus is an especially tough environment to build for. 2050 is less than three decades away, I'd guess that we might have at most a small research outpost on the moon by then, assuming no major delays or cuts to our current program to return there, and there's no guarantee of that. I'd be surprised if even one person was sent to Venus by that year.