this post was submitted on 03 Nov 2024
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Edit 12:11 PM 11/6 Pacific
Kentucky (8), Indiana (11), West Virginia (4), Florida (30), South Carolina (9), Tennessee (11), Alabama (9), Mississippi (6), Oklahoma (7), Arkansas (6), North Dakota (3), South Dakota (3), Nebraska (5*), Wyoming (3), Louisiana (8), Texas (40), Ohio (17), Missouri (10), Montana (4), Utah (6), Idaho (4), Iowa (6), Kansas (6), North Carolina (BG-16), Georgia (BG-16), Pennsylvanya (BG-19), Wisconsin (10), Michigan (15) called for Trump.

Vermont (3), Connecticut (7), District of Columbia (3), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (11), Rhode Island (4), Delaware (3), Illinois (19), New Jersey (14), New York (28), Colorado (10), California (54), Washington (12), Oregon (8), Virginia (13), Hawaii (4), New Mexico (5), New Hampshire (4), Minnesota (10) for Harris.

2 counties in PA have extended voting hours due to voting machine problems. 9:30 PM in one, 10:00 PM in the other.

Multiple precincts in Georgia have extended hours due to bomb threats.

Edit 03:09 PM Pacific Harris wins Guam.

https://www.guampdn.com/news/guam-picks-harris-over-trump-in-non-binding-presidential-straw-poll/article_657b06b8-9b97-11ef-9896-1302c4e2ebe9.html

This thread is for the Presidential election, my plan is to start marking wins as soon as they are called, sorted by time zone.

Some states are going to take longer than others. Polls generally close at 8 PM local time, but they can't start counting early/mail in votes until after the polls close.

Wisconsin in particular has an interesting system where ballots are collected by MUNICIPALITY, not precinct, they have over 1,800 ballot counting locations and don't report until ALL 1,800 are in.

https://www.wbur.org/onpoint/2024/10/22/wisconsin-voters-election-milwaukee-security-denier

Currently 232 EC votes from Blue States:

4+19+10+7+3+3+4+10+11 +4+14+28+4+3+13+54+12 +10+5+8+6

42 EC votes from Battleground States:

10+15+11+6

NC called for Trump. -16 here, +16 to Trump.

GA called for Trump. -16 here, +16 to Trump.

PA called for Trump. -19 here, +19 to Trump.

Which leaves 264 EC votes in Red States.

9+6+6+6+8+6+10+5+3+7 +3+40+30+11+8+17+9+11+4+3+4+4+3+16+16+19

270 to Win.

Online map here!

https://apnews.com/projects/election-results-2024/

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[–] jordanlund@lemmy.world 16 points 3 days ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

6 AM Eastern / 3 AM Pacific:
Guam - Harris 49.46% vs. Trump 46.22%
Northern Mariana Islands - Not voting for President.

https://www.guampdn.com/news/guam-picks-harris-over-trump-in-non-binding-presidential-straw-poll/article_657b06b8-9b97-11ef-9896-1302c4e2ebe9.html

Source for NMI not voting for President.

https://www.abc.net.au/pacific/programs/pacificbeat/pacific-beat/104547042

[–] jordanlund@lemmy.world 19 points 3 days ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

2 AM Eastern / 11 PM Pacific
(D - 4 EC votes) Hawaii - Called For Harris

[–] jordanlund@lemmy.world 15 points 3 days ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

11 PM Eastern / 8 PM Pacific
(D 54 EC Votes) California - Called For Harris
(D 12) Washington - Called For Harris

[–] jordanlund@lemmy.world 15 points 3 days ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

1 - 2 AM Eastern / 10 - 11 PM Pacific
(R 3 EC Votes) Alaska - Too Early To Call

[–] jordanlund@lemmy.world 14 points 3 days ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

10 PM Eastern / 7 PM Pacific
(BG 11 EC Votes) Arizona - Too Early to Call
(D 10) Colorado - Called For Harris
(R 4) Idaho - Called For Trump
(R 4) Montana - Called For Trump
(BG 6) Nevada - Too Close To Call
(D 5) New Mexico - Called For Harris
(D 8) Oregon - Called For Harris
(D 6) Utah - Called For Trump
(R 3) Wyoming - Called For Trump

[–] PortoPeople@lemm.ee 67 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (8 children)

RFK in charge of HHS and Leon in charge of gutting the new deal. Jesus Christ.

EPA gone.

Fight against climate change over.

SCOTUS justice Aileen Cannon.

No fault divorce gone.

National abortion ban.

Free speech destroyed.

Ukraine gone.

Gaza gone.

NATO alliance gone.

U.S. economy wasted.

U.S. military in the streets.

National concentration camps.

LOL. Wtf, Americans?

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[–] FundMECFSResearch@lemmy.blahaj.zone 24 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (1 children)

NYT got me dooming. I think it’s time to pop a xanax and pretend everything is going to be okay while falling asleep.

[–] damnedfurry@lemmy.world 4 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)
[–] jordanlund@lemmy.world 26 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (12 children)

Harris has ONE path to victory, ONE.

She has to win PA, MI, WI, MN.

Losing any one of those 4 states ends it.

MSNBC just called PA for Trump. That's it, it's over!

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[–] Hobbes_Dent@lemmy.world 11 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

Ra Ra Wish Putin.

You sure showed those immigrants.

Edit: it rhymes in American voter

Edit edit: Oh wow Cruz is back too, he can go tell them in person.

[–] PortoPeople@lemm.ee 44 points 1 day ago (3 children)

Put a fork in human civilization. It's done. The door is closed on climate change.

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[–] PortoPeople@lemm.ee 35 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (1 children)

I knew Americans were questionable people, but I didn't imagine they would be this shitty. Jesus.

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[–] RandAlThor@lemmy.ca 38 points 1 day ago (4 children)

Thanks America, for the hell you're about to unleash.

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[–] TransplantedSconie@lemm.ee 28 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (2 children)

I did my part. You all need to get out and vote if you havent already.

I'm a little pissed off that our Election Officials were allowing Trump voters to wear hats and shirts while they were voting. But I guess they didn't want to chance the risk of these violent fuckers fucking up the voting.

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[–] N0body@lemmy.dbzer0.com 21 points 1 day ago (6 children)

Trump is up 3,000,000 in the popular vote in reported precincts. That trend will not hold. Harris will flip that and then some.

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[–] AmbiguousProps@lemmy.today 31 points 1 day ago (1 children)

I think I need to stop following this at this point. I wish everyone the best.

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[–] TastyWheat@lemmy.world 34 points 1 day ago (3 children)

The rest of the world is watching, America.

Don't fuck this up.

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[–] kablammy@sh.itjust.works 5 points 23 hours ago (1 children)

He's really sucking elon's dick right now with that rambling story wtf

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[–] AmbiguousProps@lemmy.today 12 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

Updates from AP's decision desk:

Virginia:

As of about 9:30 p.m. EST, Harris isn’t doing as well as Biden in election returns at the same time during his race four years ago. Election officials in several counties in Virginia have also not yet reported results for votes cast by mail, which tend to favor Democrats. The race is too early to call.

North Carolina:

Trump is leading Harris by roughly 4 percentage points with more than half of the expected votes counted. Many of the state’s most populous counties haven’t reported significant numbers of votes cast in person on or before Election Day. In North Carolina, votes cast before Election Day made up 83% of total votes in 2020 and 58% in 2022.

[–] jordanlund@lemmy.world 13 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (9 children)

Here we go! Last run through the polls before the election!

Arizona - Trump +1 to +5
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/arizona/

Nevada - Trump +1 to +6
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/nevada/

Georgia - Toss-Up - Trump +1 to +2
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/georgia/

North Carolina - Trump +2 to +4
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/north-carolina/

Pennsylvania - Toss-Up Harris +1/+2 to Trump +1/+2
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/pennsylvania/

Michigan - Toss-Up Tie, Harris +1 to Trump +1/+2
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/michigan/

Wisconsin - Toss-Up, Harris +1/+3 to Trump +1
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/wisconsin/

Plotted on the map:

Advantage is with Trump in this scenario.

Assuming he takes Georgia, 2020 was an anomaly in my mind, GA has gone Republican in every other election since 1996, that gives Trump 264.

Which means if Harris loses ANY other state, she's done. She has to sweep PA, MI and WI to hit 274.

If the disaffected Arab vote in MI is enough to flip it, plus a Trump win in Georgia, that puts him at 279 to Harris 259. A scarily likely scenario.

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