this post was submitted on 29 Aug 2022
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It takes 3:1 manpower to perform land war offensives. They literally do not have the manpower.
They do have enough to hold their existing positions but they would literally just grind their human resources into dust by mounting anything other than a fake right now.
Noise about this is likely propaganda and also attempt at diversion as they're losing miles of ground in the east every day. Getting some Russian resources shifted around could give them time to entrench new eastern positions.
Edit: Missed a word.
Also worth noting that this is flat steppes which provide no cover from artillery.
I think Ukraine has plenty of manpower. They mobilized their entire population and have around 700,000 fighters.
What Ukraine doesn't have is air and artillery support. There is no way an offensive will succeed if you are attacking someone with superiour firepower. Guys with rifles & javelins can defend cities against Russians, but this won't help them retake cities.
Having 700k ""fighters"" (actually just people conscripted and given a gun) in the country does not mean having the manpower on the southern front. The two fronts are 400km away from each other and Ukraine has had no fuel to move troops with for 2-3 months. Russia began targeting fuel supplies as soon as they withdrew from the Kyiv front to prevent manpower being shifted from the northern front to the eastern front, Russia redeployed faster because of this and cracked the entrenchments that Ukraine had built up in the 8 years fighting LPR/DPR. Their line has been consistently losing ground in the east ever since then because their superiors do not allow them a proper retreat to a newly created entrenchment line (likely because they don't have the manpower off the front to entrench a new line).
They have at best a couple thousand men down there with a short amount of supplies. Not enough for any offensive to last more than 10 days or so without considerably weakening other fronts and as I said before the cost of doing this in fuel is enormous. Russia have none of these problems, they have easy land access and the ability to drop pontoon bridges. In the worst scenario they fly the needed supplies out, it's very simple for them.
The fact the nato strategists leading Ukraine's war effort have made this offensive shows an act of desperation and a weird cope going on around the subject of thermal optics. They seem to think that these optics would be decisive but multiple waves have now completely failed to approach Kherson. The result of these offensives is that they're decreasing defensive manpower down there. Situation is real bad for Ukraine. Worth noting that Russia don't have enough for offensives down there either, neither do.
They have technology, which Russia lacks.
Uh, what technology.
Wunderwaffe - i swear it is real this time!
Famously amish country, Russia.
That is a weird thing to say. Russia, China and even the DPRK are ahead of the US in missile technology. The US is years behind on hypersonic missiles and you can easily verify this, you should not imagine these countries to be somehow technologically backwards compared to the west, if you believe so you have been misled by western propaganda. The US leads in air technology designed for asymmetrical warfare against non-peer opponents which is useless in a landwar against a modern adversary, and that's completely ignoring the fact that they haven't and won't give Ukraine anything with more than a 50mile range as they don't want Ukraine using it to attack mainland Russia starting ww3.
xD Stopped reading here.
The US is still only in the prototype testing phase of hypersonic missiles. They are 3-5 years behind.
You need to get some perspective. The US is not the only power in this world and China's scientific research is faster and more efficient than the US. China accounted for 24.3% of the entire world's published research between 2018 and 2021 and it is pretty clear that they are collaborating with their strategic partners.
The world is changing and you're in denial about it. You're stuck in this mentality that the US will be #1 forever, it is bloated, inefficient and in decline. New ascendant powers are happening. These are all facts and you might not LIKE them but acting in denial does not change anything. It only serves to make you look like you can't absorb new info, or that you refuse to absorb info and adjust your worldview if it means viewing the US and the west as anything other than #1, it's exceptionalism, they aren't special.
Quality > quantity.
Mate you're just taking the piss at this point. Anyone saying this is just screaming "I do not understand science or peer reviews".
On what basis do you determine that the west is inherently better at science and that nobody else can possibly be better than it? Your brain is very clearly filled with fascist ideas about the genetic superiority of the white Übermenschen. The way you are acting is entirely racism.
Nope, I'm just defending people from Putin's propaganda here.
Naw man. You’re being racist. Why is western research inherently superior?
Putin's propaganda is when someone points out China is in ascendancy, the US is not number 1 anymore and you absolutely refuse to face reality?
I don't care about your reality. Noone can say who is the number one. And what does it even mean?
Oh please mate this is embarrassing. You are not an idiot, why are you pretending to be one?
You understand the concept of hegemonic power, it is intuitive. America has been the hegemonic power since the world wars ended the British hegemony. Going back in time you have to look at things more regionally as the world was not as connected up as it is today but regional hegemonic powers were clear as day too whether it was the Caliphate, Rome, Egypt, Persians, various Chinese dynasties, Mongolians, etc etc.
There is no question about what "number one" means. It is blatantly obvious, and what is happening is the same as has happened many many times before. One hegemony is in decline while a new power and its allies is in ascendancy. The world is changing and you need to recalibrate, this perspective has absolutely nothing to do with Putin.
Save yourself from western propaganda first.
You are banned for racism, kujaw. Your alt account will soon follow if you continue your fascism.