this post was submitted on 20 Mar 2024
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It feels a whole lot more like there are big things due with GPT5 and beyond.
Like, to be a successful actor in 2020 was to act, and stand in front of expensive equipment operated by specialized operators, with directors, makeup, catering... The production itself was/is its own production.
I predict that to be a successful actor in 2030, all you'll need is a small amount of money to utilize some powerful processors over the internet, enter in a few photos of your face, give it 10 different ideas for a movie, until it to make some 2 hour films where you are the star. Then you'll take one of them that you kind of like, throw some prompts at it and end up with a nearly finished Hollywood quality film.
To be a successful musician in 1960, you needed to get a record deal, you needed to go to a recording studio. Now we've got Jacob Collier winning Grammys, recording everything in his bedroom. I think we're going to see that kind of history repeat itself on steroids. Not just for art, though. For anything.
With the rapid advancements were seeing in robotics right now, I can't imagine a single thing that people do that won't be done better by autonomous agents, both programmatic and robotic, in the next 5 years or so.
Good god I hope not.