this post was submitted on 05 Feb 2024
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"AI" is a bubble. A lot of these concerns will go away this year once the bean-counters do the math and realize that the benefits of running generative neural networks aren't worth the costs.
A single chatGPT query costs about 50-500 times as much energy as a pre-Bard Google search, to say nothing of the engineering time needed to build the models. And, since LLM outputs can't be trusted, the end users will still need writers and developers to go over everything and check for hallucinations.
The trajectory here closely mimics "Web3", when people thought that massively redundant distributed ledgers were going to be the next big thing, despite the fact that traditional electronic ledgers beat the blockchain in literally every aspect of performance, efficiency, and security.
Soon, "AI" will be just as synonymous with "plagirism" as "cryptocurrency" is with "scam".