tootoughtoremember

joined 8 months ago
[–] tootoughtoremember@lemmy.world 22 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (1 children)

In the latest version I found of Nate Silver's model (not 538), he has Ohio coming in at 52.4% for Trump and 43.6% for Harris, an 8.8% spread. I did not dig deeper to find the dates or particular polls from Ohio he's basing that on.

However, based on these numbers, he is likely modelling that Trump wins Ohio in 90%+ of outcomes to Harris's <5% of outcomes.

This is the same way he spoke to his model in previous elections. It wasn't that Hillary was expected to win 80-90% of the popular vote or electoral college just weeks before the 2016 election, it was that his model had her winning that percentage of the outcomes when he ran the model.

[–] tootoughtoremember@lemmy.world 7 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago)

The state was Utah, the governor quoted the following in his veto statement:

Here are the numbers that have most impacted my decision: 75,000, 4, 1, 86 and 56.

  • 75,000 high school kids participating in high school sports in Utah.
  • 4 transgender kids playing high school sports in Utah.
  • 1 transgender student playing girls sports.
  • 86% of trans youth reporting suicidality.
  • 56% of trans youth having attempted suicide.

The veto was overridden.

[–] tootoughtoremember@lemmy.world 17 points 1 week ago (3 children)

I got a hail of down votes just two weeks ago for saying Democrats are appealing to the Republicans 10-20 years ago, and now here we are.

Couldn't the campaign be about championing progressive change on popular issues rather than capitulating to Republican narratives on immigration and crime, and being "honored" by the endorsement of war criminals?

And who is writing shit like "most lethal fighting force" into her convention acceptance speech, while Trump is out there on the road saying no more wars. I don't believe him, but plenty of moms and dads of soldiers will.

Not true. Trump prominently mentioned his son Barron and his proficiency with "the cyber", eight years ago.

Why have you forsaken me?

[–] tootoughtoremember@lemmy.world 2 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Associated Press:

MBFC: Left-Center - Credibility: High - Factual Reporting: High

[–] tootoughtoremember@lemmy.world 8 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (2 children)

Thank you kind stranger!

edit: Wow, didn't expect this to blow up!!!

[–] tootoughtoremember@lemmy.world 19 points 1 month ago

Classic Dutch beach volleyball sleeping positions

[–] tootoughtoremember@lemmy.world 17 points 1 month ago

Don't forget blatant corruption and a refusal to be held to any reasonable code of ethics!

[–] tootoughtoremember@lemmy.world 241 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (20 children)

I firmly believe that if any other candidate, in a primary or general election, either republican or democrat, had said this, it would end their campaign.

We have become so accustomed to Trump saying outrageous bullshit, that this will be forgotten in less than a week, and most voters will never even hear about it.

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