This is a dangerous game being played here. Everyone knew these races would already be close and Biden seems to be losing support despite how awful Trump is and objectively worse his policies are. There is no clear solution but I hope they figure it out quick. Not being Trump the second time around was always going to depend on how people viewed his performance for the last 4 years.
this post was submitted on 17 Jul 2024
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https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/?cid=rrpromo
Bidens lead is currently growing. This election has nothing to do with supporting Biden, or what Biden plans to do, or how old Biden is. It's entirely about stopping the orange Mussolini. Biden's odds of winning will keep growing as long as his opponents keep getting more extreme. With any sane republican this election would look like 1984.
If it's totally about beating Trump, then not replacing Biden is a mistake as everyone supporting him would support a new candidate.
Probably true, Biden shouldn't have ever started the primary. Just about any Dem could do as well.
National polls dont mean shit since we don't award office by popular vote. Biden is losing where it matters. It's too bad democrats didn't listen to leftists when we kept saying he's losing his mind for the last 3 years.
That's not a national poll.
The link is to national polling
That's the drop down menu, it defaults to the overall national model. It's not a poll, it's a projection.
Polling shows Minnesota and New Mexico already just a 1-2 point difference.
Even solid blue states like New York, which Biden carried +23 in 2020 are only +8 now, which is a shocking drop.
Don't down vote news. The news is information.
Centrists don't like it when people turn the lights on in their copium den.
Lemmy specializes in dogpiling.
This is the best summary I could come up with:
As President Biden insists he will stay in the presidential race, Democrats are growing increasingly alarmed that his presence on the ticket is transforming the political map, turning light-blue states into contested battlegrounds.
Down-ballot Democrats, local elected officials and party strategists say Minnesota, New Hampshire, New Mexico and Virginia — all of which Mr. Biden won comfortably in 2020 — could be in play in November after his miserable debate performance last month.
“President Trump is appealing to voters across the political spectrum, including in so-called blue states like Virginia, Minnesota, New Hampshire, New Mexico and New Jersey, with his agenda to lower costs, secure the border, and restore peace through strength,” said Anna Kelly, a spokeswoman for the R.N.C.
But consistent across all four states are widespread fears about Mr. Biden’s age, unhappiness with inflation and electorates that are more closely divided than many national observers realize, according to interviews with local Democratic officials and strategists.
And a statewide survey in Oregon completed this week found that Mr. Biden had just a single-digit lead over Mr. Trump, according to results shared with The New York Times by a person who was not authorized to disclose them publicly.
Reporting was contributed by Katie Glueck from Salt Lake City, Utah, Reid J. Epstein and Ruth Igielnik from Washington, Nicholas Fandos from New York, Rebecca Davis O’Brien from Hooksett, N.H., and Jenna Russell from Bedford, N.H., and Nashua, N.H.
The original article contains 1,561 words, the summary contains 237 words. Saved 85%. I'm a bot and I'm open source!