this post was submitted on 28 Nov 2023
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These countries tried everything from cash to patriotic calls to duty to reverse drastically declining birth rates. It didn’t work.

If history is any guide, none of this will work: No matter what governments do to convince them to procreate, people around the world are having fewer and fewer kids.

In the US, the birth rate has been falling since the Great Recession, dropping almost 23 percent between 2007 and 2022. Today, the average American woman has about 1.6 children, down from three in 1950, and significantly below the “replacement rate” of 2.1 children needed to sustain a stable population. In Italy, 12 people now die for every seven babies born. In South Korea, the birth rate is down to 0.81 children per woman. In China, after decades of a strictly enforced one-child policy, the population is shrinking for the first time since the 1960s. In Taiwan, the birth rate stands at 0.87.

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[–] eran_morad@lemmy.world 219 points 10 months ago (19 children)

My wife and I are well to do in the US, with a good household income that probably puts us in the top 2% or some shit. And to maintain the sort of life that used to be considered “middle class”, we need all of that income for our family of 4. Which means that we both work. We would have liked more kids. But there is only so much time to go around. Fuck are we supposed to do, have another kid and hire a nanny? Fuck is the point of that, we wouldn’t even be parenting.

You want more kids? Give people more time. Which means LESS WORK and BETTER CHILDCARE OPTIONS.

[–] WeeSheep@lemmy.world 65 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (6 children)

Not to mention better healthcare! Healthcare costs are the primary reason US citizens go bankrupt. Kids get sick, adults get sick, and if one of the adults in the house gets sick and can't help bring in money for the kids then the entire household essentially goes from upper/middle to lower or bankrupt. If a kid gets very sick, oftentimes one of the parents has to stop working to argue every single claim that insurance would be paying but doesn't, and call every department of every doctors office or hospital to get an itemized bill and get it lowered to a reasonable cost rather than them asking for a blank check. I'm afraid of having a sick kid and losing my job to their healthcare organization (note: not their healthcare directly, but calling insurance asking them to pay for life saving care, then calling hospitals asking why a small bandage is $1200), losing my house to bankruptcy after healthcare costs, and losing any semblance of future career due to time off and losing myself.

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[–] teft@startrek.website 154 points 10 months ago (3 children)

People don’t want to bring children into this capitalistic hellscape. Color me surprised.

[–] FireRetardant@lemmy.world 105 points 10 months ago (7 children)

And even if they want to, they can't afford to

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[–] YoBuckStopsHere@lemmy.world 44 points 10 months ago

When it takes two people's income to live in the middle class, there is no time for children until much later. The trend is to have children at 30, when you are starting to make a decent income.

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[–] TenderfootGungi@lemmy.world 95 points 10 months ago (3 children)

The cost of raising a child has gone up thousands. No government has come close to subsidizing the increase.

[–] UsernameHere@lemmings.world 43 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (2 children)

That’s my experience too. I read the whole article to find out what countries have actually tried helping with the expenses of raising a child. The most financial help mentioned was a 30,000 LOAN that would be given to newly weds and only forgiven if they had 3 kids… 30k isn’t enough for one kid…

The only other financial help I saw was $7000 per kid in Russia.

And money is only one part of the problem. It takes time to raise kids. If both parents have to work full time there isn’t any time left to raise your kids even if you’re rich while working.

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[–] jonne@infosec.pub 39 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Yeah, how much cash are they offering? If it's a one time payment of like $1000, that won't even cover the cost of nappies in the first year.

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[–] DepthCharge@lemmy.world 78 points 10 months ago (24 children)

Have they tried raising the salaries so that one parent can stay at home and actually take care of the children, instead of sending them to way too expensive daycares. Having children is a "luxury" nowadays.

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[–] queermunist@lemmy.ml 72 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (2 children)

Just like the socalled "work shortage", the problem is they aren't offering nearly enough. That's it.

Currently in Taiwan, citizens receive 2500 NT per month (i.e. $80 USD) per birth until the child is five years old. That's a fucking joke.

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[–] zepheriths@lemmy.world 70 points 10 months ago (10 children)

I assure you you can. The payment would have to cover all of the child's needs plus a bit more but you definitely can.

[–] PizzaMane@lemm.ee 28 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (1 children)

But the cost of that would far exceed anything remotely reasonable. I say fuck it, let the birthrate drop for a few decades. The planet could use the break.

[–] zepheriths@lemmy.world 27 points 10 months ago (4 children)

It's only catastrophically low in traditionally "western" countries. the world's population is still growing. It appears immigration is now a requirement to grow the economy. How interesting.

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[–] Embarrassingskidmark@lemmy.world 68 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Tried everything...except work life balance.

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[–] BigTrout75@lemmy.world 61 points 10 months ago

Most birds don't lay eggs without a proper nest

[–] greenfish@lemmy.world 56 points 10 months ago (2 children)

Woman of childbearing age here. Lots of my friends took another child off the table when Roe fell. Being potentially forced to die and leave your existing children orphaned is a big deterrent, turns out

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[–] Gargantu8@lemmy.world 56 points 10 months ago (2 children)

I sure as shit would have more kids if I had parental leave and child care options...

[–] SharkEatingBreakfast@sopuli.xyz 43 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (5 children)

And money. And a place to live. And food prices that aren't massively inflated.

Lot of folks can't even afford to take care of themselves. Add a kid into that struggle? No thank you.

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[–] Drivebyhaiku@lemmy.world 26 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (3 children)

I know a fair chunk of my friends who have given up on the dream of kids. When both parents have to work full time at jobs their post secondary education qualified them for and court mental health issues because nothing they do for work feels meaningful just to scrape by with the bare minimum and accrue damn near nothing in savings... They don't really want to have kids.

A lot of mammals when they don't feel safe or secure in resources abandon or kill their young. Humans given control over their reproduction just seem to settle on raising dogs because they are cheaper.

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[–] sunbytes@lemmy.world 50 points 10 months ago (1 children)

I suspect the rise of the dual-income family (often as a matter of necessity) has had a massive influence on this.

In addition to the absurd increases in cost of living etc.

[–] Pirasp@lemmy.world 27 points 10 months ago

Also the bleak outlook into the future.

[–] Dagwood222@lemm.ee 46 points 10 months ago

In 1968, when Richard Nixon was first elected, "middle class" was defined as one Union type job paying for a family of four in a private house with a few luxuries. In those days, $1 million was a vast fortune. Nixon ramped up inflation with his Vietnam War buildup, and the Oil Crisis really increased it. Ronald Reagan got elected and by the time Bush Sr. finished the job, "middle class" was two incomes to keep the household going, and $1 million was what a rich guy paid for a party.

[–] Empricorn@feddit.nl 43 points 10 months ago

They've tried everything... except putting guardrails on these giant corporations and their runaway price-gouging. In the US at least, if the cost of wages kept pace with skyrocketing housing, higher education, and healthcare, I guarantee more people could afford to live and care for themselves and children...

[–] ChaoticEntropy@feddit.uk 42 points 10 months ago

People are generally depressed and struggling with little help, barely making ends meet, and then they get bitched at for not creating more people to thrust into this thankless meatgrinder. If people felt better about the world that they were bringing people into then maybe they would be more inclined.

We live in a world with an aging population that is happy to reap the benefits of short term thinking, leave it up to the next generation, then get pissed when people aren't giving them a next generation to pay the tab.

[–] DarkGamer@kbin.social 41 points 10 months ago (2 children)

People who complain about falling birth rates usually want more humans to cheaply exploit as a resource.

In a world with fewer humans, human life and human labors are more valuable.

We should be celebrating declining birth rates, as infinite growth is not possible in a finite system and most of the existential threats we face are due to population pressures.

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[–] Underwaterbob@lemm.ee 38 points 10 months ago (8 children)

Is a declining birth rate a bad thing? 50 million people live in a country (South Korea) the size of Indiana. Maybe, just maybe the economy should just take a hit for a change so there can be fewer people here. I know rich people don't want that, but I bet the country would be a better place for it.

[–] praise_idleness@sh.itjust.works 27 points 10 months ago (7 children)

Korean here. The problem is the steepness of the trend. We are not ready for such dramatic change over short period. Gradual decrease in population will cause economic downfall for sure. But we can deal with that. But in current speed, it's going to be economic airplane crash. Claiming that it's only bad for the 1% is just delusional at best. The crash will overwhelm any social/economic structure.

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[–] Artyom@lemm.ee 38 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Raising a kid in America starts around $200k, conservatively. A 2-3k incentive or even 6 months of paid leave worth around 25k aren't gonna make a dent.

[–] hightrix@lemmy.world 26 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (1 children)

Give me 2-3k per month for 18 years plus cost of living increase at 5%+ per year and I’ll consider it.

Otherwise, nah. Im good. I enjoy my free time and all the extra money I have due to no kids.

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[–] skybreaker@lemmy.world 37 points 10 months ago (20 children)

Reducing the world population is the obvious answer to slowing the detrimental effects humankind are having on the earth.

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[–] Eigerloft@lemmy.world 36 points 10 months ago (2 children)

Yeah here is my counter offer:

  • universal free childcare, education, and healthcare.
  • 3 day work week
  • double annual salaries
[–] Tosti@feddit.nl 28 points 10 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (2 children)
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[–] firewyre@lemmy.world 36 points 10 months ago (3 children)
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[–] Domille@sh.itjust.works 36 points 10 months ago (1 children)

My husband and I chose not to have biological children and there are so many reasons for it. It's not even just one big one - it's multiple huge ones. Lack of support systems for parents and childcare, finances (we are ok for a couple, but there is no way we could comfortably afford even a single child), healthcare costs alone will break you, the future of this planet is not looking so hot (or rather, VERY hot actually), carbon footprint of another child on the planet is huge, and I refuse to bring in another soul to become a slave for our corporate overlords. And I am not even listing any personal reasons, which there also are - these are just things that are happening in the world overall... and the best the politicians can do is pikachu face that there is no population growth. Because, ya know, 8 BILLION of us is not enough.

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[–] NegativeLookBehind@kbin.social 34 points 10 months ago (8 children)

“Please have children to fuel our profiteering, war, and labor goals” basically

Go fuck yourselves.

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[–] radioactiveradio@lemm.ee 32 points 10 months ago (9 children)

Kids are not affordable or cute or have fur, plus they take time l, a lot of time. For me there's no reason to have kids.

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[–] aidan@lemmy.world 29 points 10 months ago (5 children)

You actually definitely could, they just didn't offer to pay enough

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[–] foggy@lemmy.world 28 points 10 months ago

I would honestly need twice my salary and a free home to consider it with my girlfriend.

Not even on the table.

[–] dipshit@lemmy.world 27 points 10 months ago (1 children)

(it’s the economy and political landscape)

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[–] Mango@lemmy.world 27 points 10 months ago

Giving birth to someone is the worst thing you can do to them. I'm not taking money for that.

[–] kandoh@reddthat.com 26 points 10 months ago (2 children)

The optimal strategy for raising a child in the 21st century is to have just one so you can focus all your resources and attention on them for maximum chance of success.

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