R.I.P. One country, two systems. If Beijing wanted Taiwan to rejoin willingly under a OCTS guarantee, their actions in Hong Kong have ensured that that will never happen, and Taiwan will fight like hell to stay an independent country.
this post was submitted on 23 Dec 2021
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Taiwan just saw a 50% increase in trade with China, and China now amounts to 36% of its GDP. If push comes to shove Taiwan will absolutely repatriate. It's also worth noting that Taiwan is currently in the best possible position to negotiate with China, and large portions of the population as well as military are in support of it.
edit: people downvoting are free to explain what they disagree with here
Yes there's been a thawing of relationships around trade as of late, but the notion that any significant portion of the population wants reunification under the CCP is not remotely true. Of the three polls I could find on the subject taken recently, all had reunification around 10%. It's not clear how many would like that to be with Taiwan, not the PRC, as government.
10% is significant and if the question becomes war or reunification I'd wager that number would go up quite a bit. Ultimately, Taiwan is just a geopolitical pawn for US, and people there are going to realize this sooner or later. CPC tends to play the long game, and what I expect will happen is that they will continue to creating more economic ties and that will necessarily translate into closer ties overall.
Looking at this video: https://www.bbc.com/news/av/world-asia-48476879, it seems they did succeed to erase the Tiananmen events from Chinese memories...
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No matter what i think of a specific Nation-State, i think separatism should always be supported uncritically. That's like Consent 101. In the name of what would you impose on people to be part of something they don't want to be part of?!
Who cares if it's China? In France many people aim for autonomy, too, in the colonized regions from Guadeloupe to Corse or Bretagne/Kanaky. If you pretend to support freedom for people/communities, then you should probably support these anti-colonial struggles too.
That's a really naive view of the world. A small place like Hong Kong is never going to be independent in practice. So, it's not a question of whether they're independent from China, but rather whether they're going to be under Chinese or western influence.
Meanwhile, it's also absurd to homogenize people. The reality is that majority of people in HK aren't exactly against China. There is also a long documented history of US being involved in the drive for separatism.
Depends what you call "independant". Of course they're not gonna be 100% resource-sufficient and that's OK. But why would you have to choose under whose umbrella to hide? Can't an independent nation conduct partnership and trade with "both" sides (or more)? I mean if in your view humanity requires choosing a side between different colonial Empires, i'd rather not live in this world.
I'm talking about politics. Most countries in the world have to deal with US in terms of funding politicians, spreading propaganda in the media, and economic coercion. Ultimately, when US doesn't get what it wants then they will fund protests, civil unrest, death squads, and coups in your country. Many books have been written on this subject. The Jakarta Method is a very good read on what happens to countries that try to be independent.
There is no such animal as an independent nation in the real world that we live in. Whether you choose to engage with reality or not is of course your choice.
edit: spelling
There's a few semi-independent nations, although i agree colonial sabotage and psyops is definitely a thing. Whether you choose to continue with this imperialist status quo or not is of course your choice.
All nations fall under some larger umbrella in practice. Meanwhile, whether large nations are going act the way they act is not my choice at all actually. The only choice an individual has is to engage with the facts.
OK so if we agree there's some things we're powerless in regards to, can we agree we should live our lives regardless of their positions and not try to accommodate their tyrannical desires in the name of defending the lesser evil?
Could you be specific what these tyrannical desires you're referring to are?
Power. Do you think China's "Belt and Road" or USA's USAID is a humanitarian project? Historical colonization was also presented as a humanitarian project to civilize the "lower people". These empires are trying to get their hands on all the resources they can.
You're creating a false equivalence because evidently you can't comprehend the concept of mutually beneficial relationships between countries. Here are examples of what the results of China's investments look like in practice:
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3745021
https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2021/02/china-debt-trap-diplomacy/617953/
USSR also had a positive relationship with states like Cuba and Vietnam where lots resources flowed out of USSR to help these countries develop. Quality of life there declined significantly after USSR fell.
Quality of life there declined significantly after USSR fell.
I'm not saying otherwise. Just like in the Global North quality of life also significantly declined at the same period due to applying the same kind of neoliberal policies (though arguably in a less severe manner than was done in ex-USSR countries).
But you should probably realize that propaganda about philantropic foreign investment is a recurring trope of colonization. France famously prides itself on developing public school and roads/railways in all its former colonies as part of its "civilizing mission". I'm not saying China has such a bad record as France in Africa (dozens of millions of deaths and countless suffering), but they don't exactly have a good track record in other regions and i don't see any convincing argument emerging that Chinese neo-colonialism (eg. privatization of key infrastructure and resources by foreign companies) is any better than Western neo-colonialism.
I’m not saying otherwise. Just like in the Global North quality of life also significantly declined at the same period due to applying the same kind of neoliberal policies
I'm talking about countries like Cuba and Vietnam that were getting aid from USSR and weren't liberalized internally.
But you should probably realize that propaganda about philantropic foreign investment is a recurring trope of colonization.
What I'm pointing out is that China has a different economic system from the west, and at least so far the nature of their relationships has been quite different. The paper I linked above goes into the details of how these relationships work in practice and why the outcomes are positive.
The west is a military empire that dictates how countries subjugated by the west do their internal business, and topples governments that aren't friendly to the west. China has practically no foreign military presence and it does not meddle in internal affairs of the countries it does business with. It's a fundamentally different relationship.
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I think the argument was rather that even if separatism would lead to objectively worse outcomes, forcing someone to stay together as one country would still be (morally) wrong.
And it is highly questionable if it leads to objectively worse outcomes at least when cooperation is still possible. The problem is usually that one side tries to force the issue and that leads to bitterness on both sides and thus cooperation becomes impossible.
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Borders are arbitrary. People might as well say the best outcome would be a capitalist world government. So those separatist Chinese that insist on having their own flavor of Capitalism should really just think more of the prosperity of the people ( /s obviously).
In the end the prosperity of the people does indeed matter more, but arbitrary lines on a map only become an issue for that when people make them so. There is nothing inherently problematic in having decentralized means of administration under different flags as long as everyone cooperates.
Separatism is not exactly a good thing
I think the misunderstanding comes from what the word means. Some people use it to designate the rule of someone else, as in the examples you mentioned. I personally advocate for autonomy (decentralized power) which also fits under that umbrella.
So yes, context matters. But consent matters even more so. I never consented to live under the rule of the French Empire and every day of my life i suffer due to that. The same is true with many people. In the name of what would you refuse us the right to build our own autonomous commune as is illegal by French law?
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Reasoning with those in power does not work: those from the ZAD who tried to negotiate with the State ended up betraying/destroying the ZAD (it's now all legalized and mostly populated by hipsters and bourgeois). Going all guerilla warfare on your government is a valid strategy, but arguably modern empires have become too resilient for that to work. Mounting a legal political party for your cause seems useless: even a formally-elected government like in Catalonia will get repressed by the State for trying to separate.
Yeah there's a lot we can do and i guess both of us are involved in various projects AFK, but still when you boil it down to personal/communal consent, Nation States are always the enemy of the people.
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I'm not morally opposed to "work from within" as long as you don't become corrupted. I just don't know of a single example of this strategy working to produce any significant change, but i do know many examples of people betraying their cause due to working within the system.
In this case, your uncritical support for separatism is indistinguishable from uncritical support for Anglo colonialism.
Uncritical support for repatriation from settler colonists and their collaborators.
"In this case, your uncritical support for refusing sex is indistinguishable from uncritical support of rape"
Do you realize how horrible what you're saying is? If my community doesn't want to be part of your colonial Empire, just kill us already but don't pretend we have a moral obligation to live by your rules.
Do you realize pee pee poo poo?
The colonizers in this case are Anglo. You're participating in an anglophone forum. Idgaf what you have to say about colonial empires.
So what? Did you read me defending western Empires? No. But i do read you defending the Chinese empire, and that worries me. If you want to build communism, the first step is to abolish all Nation States for they are bourgeois constructs controlling the people.
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This is the best comeback I've ever seen for this.
I'm confused. Are you downplaying what happened? Or stating that it never happened? Or that it happened, but the US has twisted/lied about what happened?
You've got it with the last one.
What would be a good source for me to read that you would consider closer to the actual truth of what happened?
A WaPo reporter disavowing what was published in their name.
China has never denied it or covered it up. The only thing they've rejected are Anglo-imperialist attempts to foment further discord like the statue in the OP here. The original protests were NED-funded too.
Wikileaks cables show that the US State Department knew what actually happened.
A leader of the protest acknowledges no protestors were killed.
So what did happen? A guy walked in front of a tank, which stopped for him and let him even climb on top without even being arrested (the video exists in full for you to confirm this). Imagine that happening at a 4th of July parade in amerikkka. CIA-fomented protestors killed unarmed members of the PLA sent in to disperse them. Again, imagine that happening in amerikkka.
From your Wikileaks source:
BODIES AND WOUNDED, HOWEVER, BEGAN TO ARRIVE AT THE RED CROSS STATION INDICATING THE EXTENT OF THE FIGHTING AND THE FACT THAT REAL BULLETS WERE BEING USED. (...) HE WATCHED THE MILITARY ENTER THE SQUARE AND DID NOT OBSERVE ANY MASS FIRING OF WEAPONS INTO THE CROWDS, ALTHOUGH SPORADIC GUNFIRE WAS HEARD. (...) GALLO SAID WOUNDED, INCLUDING SOME SOLDIERS, CONTINUED TO BE BROUGHT TO THE RED CROSS STATION. (...) THEY CIRCLED THE RED CROSS STATION AND BEGAN YELLING AND THROWING STICKS AND DEBRIS OVER THE HEADS OF THE PEOPLE AT THE STATION. THE MEDICAL PERSONNEL PANICKED AND FLED, LEAVING BEHIND THE WOUNDED. (...) THE FEW THAT ATTEMPTED TO REMAIN BEHIND WERE BEATEN AND DRIVEN TO JOIN THE END OF THE DEPARTING PROCESSION. (...) THEREFORE, HE COULD NOT COMMENT ON REPORTS THAT STUDENTS WERE AMBUSHED AND SLAUGHTERED IN THE ALLEY JUST WEST OF THE SQUARE NEAR THE BEIJING CONCERT HALL. (...) ALTHOUGH HE DID NOT ACTUALLY WITNESS ANY LARGE SCALE SHOOTINGS ON THE SQUARE PROPER, GALLO SAW MANY CASUALTIES BROUGHT INTO THE SQUARE AND DID NOT DOUBT THAT HUNDREDS OF PEOPLE IN BEIJING WERE KILLED BY THE ARMY ON JUNE 3 AND 4.
That's not exactly what i call a denial of state violence.
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Many people protesting @ Tiananmen Square were Maoists...
Funny to see people downvoting you without arguments while you made a great point.
It's insane being an actually real-life organized socialist with natural contacts to the communist opposition in China, and then looking in the online world to see teenagers stanning the PRC because it has a red flag.
Congrats, no one will every take anything you say seriously on this platform again. I think I should start a list of ~~communist/Chinese apologists~~ on this platform and keep it public.
Edit: Propagandists
For someone with (seemingly) Western values, you sure are against people having different opinions than you
I mean look, I even had a community on Lemmy.ml banned (/c/IsTaiwanACountry) because of its moderate anti-CCP stance and enough people complained. While that's obviously BS on behalf of the Lemmy admins, it doesn't immediately discredit everyone who got the community banned