Apple

I can't see why they'd insist on keeping Lightning just for a few regions and not others. They'd end up losing way more money in supply line and accessory fragmentation than they'd gain in extra residuals from Lightning.

The logistical cost to have separate connectors in two different markets would hit the multi-million dollar range. The financial benefit to Apple of not adopting USB-C in any given market cannot be that significant. It comes down to accessory license fees. Apple is losing that market with losing Lightning, but Apple's image would take a hit from bisecting their connector across markets ("It just works" being their reputation and all — any unnecessary complexity harms that).

It's really hard to imagine it being worth it to Apple to make USB-C an EU-only thing. I don't know all the numbers, so I'm not going to say impossible. I would be very surprised though.

Modern USB is also just a better product. Flexible power delivery, significantly faster transfer speeds, multiple protocols over same connection, etc.

Apple will probably slowly use these for pro model upsells.