I wonder if this helps explains why polling has been getting worse than usual since 2016. (In relation to presidential polling (midterm polling has been historically accurate).
this post was submitted on 30 Oct 2024
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This is what I was looking for. It's not reliable data about which direction it may be influencing polling, but if a self-identified "democrat" is lying, presumably it is to conservative family or friends about conservative support (and vice versa). This would mean there is slightly more "shy" democrats than republicans, but with a very large "independent" black box.