this post was submitted on 22 Jul 2022
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[–] thervingi@lemmy.ml 7 points 2 years ago (1 children)

Which experts are you reading? Western experts in the media are too biased in favour of the Ukrainian side to make accurate predictions.They have been wrong too many times to trust them.

[–] Ninmi@sopuli.xyz 0 points 2 years ago (1 children)

I've been absent. Also, I'm going to half ignore your request for non-western sources by concentrating on the Finnish ones with very brief translations or explanations. I was not able to find the main source I was looking for, but this will do for now.

https://yle.fi/uutiset/3-12540078 Finnish major general and former chief of intelligence, Pekka Toveri: "Russia dominates by numbers, but Ukraine's western arsenal is more modern and neither have the resources to solve the situation."

https://yle.fi/uutiset/3-12526593 Toveri: Essentially the same as above, but with various different additional comments.

https://yle.fi/uutiset/3-12314941/64-3-94534 Senior researcher at the Finnish National Defence University, Jukka Viitaniemi on the chances of Ukraine getting back southern regions: "Yes, in light of recent events, considering the weapons and aid they've received. I would say it's entirely possible and even probable. I would give it around a 50-70% chance, I can't say with a 100% that this would happen."

On the chances of taking back Crimea: "In optimal conditions, yes."

https://yle.fi/uutiset/3-12521889 Swedish Military University docent Ilmari Käihkö: "Most observers agree that both sides will run out of troops over summer."

https://www.iltalehti.fi/ulkomaat/a/b94134db-060b-41ba-8d40-a70d8db559f1 Essentially the same as above, but with a fleshed out interview.

https://www.verkkouutiset.fi/a/asiantuntija-hehkuttaa-himars-jarjestelmaa-ukraina-voi-kaantaa-edun-itselleen/#48cc421d Finnish Military University, Military Professor Marko Palokangas: A lot of praise for the effectiveness of HIMARS.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jul/07/russia-ukraine-war-update-what-we-know-on-day-134-of-the-invasion I've excluded Ukrainian and Russian sources as I mostly ignore them, but it's worth mentioning they've described the HIMAR systems as "game changers".

https://nitter.it/MarkHertling/status/1551668596803358724#m HIMARS and MLRS differences and why they matter from a former US army officer.

[–] thervingi@lemmy.ml 3 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) (1 children)

Most of these are government or almost-government sources. I am very skeptical about such sources given the enourmous pro-Ukrainian bias.

[–] Ninmi@sopuli.xyz -1 points 2 years ago

If you mean YLE, then you need not worry. They're not any different to any other news outlet in Finland except there site is less cancerous and they seem to write about opposing views a little more than others.