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They will end up finding out that the US will absolutely have their back despite the genocide of Palestinians so that the US can keep their middle east ally. You know, like that one asshole who always starts fights because their big friends help out when they start getting their ass kicked.
If they do, that will very likely pull in Iran, Russia, and now with the recent agreement, possibly North Korea.
The US is not as big as they were in the late nineties and early aughts.
The US navy has almost as many aircraft as all of Russia.
The US Army has more aircraft than all of Russia.
The US Airforce has more aircraft than the US navy and army.
That’s just planes and helicopters.
If you think any of the countries you talked about are a serious threat to the US outside of nuclear war, then you’re sorely mistaken about how truly insane US defense spending is.
But the war in Ukraine has demonstrated that US stockpiles of ammunition are woefully low. Doesn't matter how many planes you have or that your soldiers have the best weapons if they run out of missiles and bullets.
Half-assed support from the US isn't because of ammunition shortfalls, it's because the US will only give just enough to drag out the war and drain Russia as much as possible.