See you on the other side
this post was submitted on 30 Jun 2023
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This absolutely feels like republicans setting themselves up for the "red wave" in 2020 that never materialized.
Yeah I feel like anybody who was gonna come to lemmy already did
While I want to agree with this, there have been a number of people saying they will stop using Reddit when the changes come into force on July 1.
Yeah people say stuff like that all the time. If they were really going to leave they'd have done it already
I heard that less than 10% of redditors use 3rd party apps. After tomorrow, I doubt that the whole 10% moves here. Maybe 5% if we are lucky (on unlucky if you are an instance owner).
What really matters is how well the mods can manage the site without their 3rd party tools. Without them, moderation will suffer.
5% of Reddit is colossal compared to Lemmy's current numbers. I think even 0.1% would be very noticeable.
I might be in the minority, but I actually like Lemmy where it is now. Sorting by new, there's usually more new stuff than I can read anyway as-is.
The content on r/all was already dropping in quality during june. I was noticing I was getting into weird niche subreddit way earlier than usual, so hopefully that means all the post makers are starting to jump ship
Same for me. I was getting a lot of 'suggested' communities in my feed
I just got notification from bacon reader that I can't use it anymore after almost 10 years. It was how I used reddit. I reckon a lot of folks will be getting that same announcement tomorrow, loads of iphone users especially. So I just deleted my account today. Reckon other people will do the same
There will probably be another wave. Simply for the fact that moderation bots are going to stop functioning tomorrow and Spam is just going to go through the roof. It all depends on how fast Reddit can get a handle on that situation.
Oh yeah, I'd forgotten about the moderation tools losing API access. The big subreddits don't have the staff to manually fight all of that, especially with at least some of the senior/dedicated mods losing at least some interest in keeping things afloat. Pro bono work was already rough enough with tools to help. Remove those tools and it's going to put a lot of people off moderating in a serious manner.
Nope, I totally missed the boat on this one. Just found refuge this morning.
Yeah I don't think there will be a significant drop in reddit users however I think they'll be a noticeable drop in quality posts and comments. I think with many older gen redditors and experienced mods jumping ship there's going to be somewhat of a void left in the wake.
Content already has been dropping in quality slowly. A few days ago people were talking about subs up voting Facebook level memes to the frontpage.
That was very much how the death of Digg felt. As the real users left, they're upvoting and downvoting pressure that kept total trash off the front page waned. Soon it was nothing but total garbage posts and advertisers who were gaming the system. The content quality completely crashed and it just pushed more real users away.
It'll be interesting to watch how well Reddit weathers this and what comes out the other side. Digg still exists, but it's a shadow of a shadow of its former self.
And just like then, I will expect the worst and still be pleasantly surprised if the best somehow materializes