this post was submitted on 11 Feb 2024
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Showerthoughts

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A "Showerthought" is a simple term used to describe the thoughts that pop into your head while you're doing everyday things like taking a shower, driving, or just daydreaming. A showerthought should offer a unique perspective on an ordinary part of life.

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The Gambler's Fallacy makes sense logically, but it feels so wrong emotionally. (lemmy.world)
submitted 9 months ago by alt_total_loser@lemmy.world to c/showerthoughts@lemmy.world
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I can accept the fact that on a Roulette wheel (as long as there are no defects or imbalances in the wheel or ball) that the odds are the same each spin and previous spin outcomes have no influence over the current spin. However, if I see black come up 32 times in a row I am betting on red for the next spin.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacy

The Gambler's Fallacy is Really Odd

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[โ€“] amio@kbin.social 8 points 9 months ago (1 children)

That could be reasonable in certain scenarios, but that's technically not the gambler's fallacy anymore; at that point you're talking about the "something specifically made it that way" I mentioned. I was talking about uniform/fair distribution of outcomes (part of the definition of the gambler's fallacy), otherwise it's just "hey, this distribution is lopsided as hell".

[โ€“] haui_lemmy@lemmy.giftedmc.com 4 points 9 months ago

Interesting! Thanks for the heads up.