this post was submitted on 24 Jun 2023
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GenZedong
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You make some good points but I don't think a lack of an attack signals a lack of support. Wagner doesn't seem like a junior to be trifled with, even if it was only a portion of the unit that headed to Moscow.
It doesn't make much sense to me for e.g. police to go vigilante and try to stop Wagner on the way up. It would make sense for an order to organise a defence to be coordinated beyond 'everyone between Ukraine and Moscow needs to individually try to stop Wagner'. If this had turned really bloody within Russia, I imagine the plan would be to ensure a quick victory and to plan for a defense where that was possible.