Technology
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I somewhat disagree... you haven't considered the increased incentive for occasional posters to become more regular contributors as existing contributors leave.
As the volume of contributions reduces, each contribution is more likely to garner engagement - those sweet sweet endorphins released when someone upvotes or otherwise engages with your post.
Even if it does, it doesn't really matter if Reddit can become profitable.
It doesn't really matter what we think but what the shitty capitalists bearing down on Reddit think. They clearly pushed for it to move into crypto and NFTs and I wouldn't doubt if they push it to chase the next hype of AI. I wouldn't doubt if the restrictions in the API are AI related and Reddit has lots of archived comments and posts to draw from.