this post was submitted on 05 Nov 2023
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I wouldn't say that, but they both desperately need each other for sure. Russia has always wanted and will always want the dardenelles and the bosphorus and Turkey will always be in a military pissing match with them over it, no matter how cordial their outward relationship is. Geography drives politics there. That said, the idea that having the dardenelles in their pocket isn't a massive win for NATO is ridiculous. Turkey is one of the US''s most important strategic allies no matter what.
Given how Russia is stalling in Ukraine, i doubt Turkey to be at threat from them anytime soon.
Also if NATO would kick out Turkey, the logical next step for Turkey would be to work on a more aligned Middle East, kicking out US and Russian influence. Everything the US has done in the Middle East was and is focused on maintaining a destabilized and divided Middle East.
If the US would drive Turkey from NATO they would need to escalate into another war to keepthe region destabalized. I am not sure if the US population wants another Vietnam style foreign "adventure"
Good points.