this post was submitted on 23 Sep 2023
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Which experts predict that china invades taiwan in the next two years?
Very high likelihood of invasion as Xi would like to cement his legacy before he dies
Putin decided to cement his legacy by annexing Ukraine. He's done a pretty effective job of messing up Russia in the attempt.
Not sure Xi cares about the state of his country after he goes into history books
In addition to CNN, NBC, CBC, Washington Post and MSNBC contributors, Taiwanese Foreign Minister Joseph Wu says it appears imminent.
So basically "the US said so", okay.
The CBC is not the US and neither is Mr. Wu, but I'm pretty sure Al Jazeera and the BBC would also agree.
There's a pretty wide international concensus on this topic, but I suppose a troll's gotta troll. And here I am feeding you.
Arte did some really good documentaries about the peoples Republic China and the Republic of China aka the island Taiwan, once you know the background (E.g. Chinas promises of a united China within the next few years and their increasing aggressions) you will understand why that situation is dangerous af and a military invasion is very likely to happen sooner or later!
Check for example this article of Foreign Policy which summarize the whole China-Taiwan-Conflict and filling detterence of US politics in the Pacific: https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/09/05/us-military-china-deterrence-taiwan-defense-war-east-asia-indo-pacific-strategy/
Thanks for the link. I am reasonably well aware of the conflict and no questions that china wants Taiwan. I was just surprised to hear that the sentiment shifted towards such a short timeframe.
For me this was more of a decade thing. Maybe once everyone has diversified away a bit from the reliance ok chips from Taiwan and thus less skin in the game
Among these 'experts' are Xi himself and those around him.