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Russian hardliners are fuming that the Kremlin wasn't able to top a string of embarrassing attacks on home soil
(www.businessinsider.com)
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Not convinced that its as simple as that, there was an article about a Ukrainian general or some high level commander who mentioned that they need at least 100 aircraft to get air superiority. I image in reality they need alot more as there likely to be losses (orcs are likely keeping some long range missiles in reserve to whack at Ukrainian airfields after f16s arrive), but also they need correct ammunition.. loads of ammunition.
We should have gone into ammunition production overdrive as soon as it became clear that there was an attack plan brewing instead of waiting until the attack actually happens. And i refuse to believe that US did not know well in advance. Eu just sat there twiddling their thumbs instead of doing something productive about it. Shame on us.
I'm hopeful with the f16. As far as I understand it, they would increase the range at which Ukraine can destroy Russian aircrafts, range that they are severely lacking to support their offensive right now. Obviously the more the better, but even a few could make a huge difference in this case.
You're right about the missiles and bombs though. Ultimately this is what they will need in large quantities.
As for acting before the war, everyone thought Ukraine would collapse in two weeks at best. Ukraine won its support the hard way.
Indeed. And also, some prominent people still worry about Russian "red lines" and nukes. Perhaps rightly so, I am not an expert. By ramping up support over time we tread those red lines carefully to see if they actually mean anything. There's also probably an element of "boiling the frog" going on, too.
I agree with that. IMO treading this line is a matter or making Russia slowly accept its defeat. Acceptance is a process that takes time, both psychologically and for the government to prepare for it. Going too fast might scare the idiots on charge and risk them pushing the big red button if they feel like they have nothing else to lose.
That’s very true. It sad the Russian’s slow acceptance is so costly in lives and so destructive for Ukraine. But unfortunately, this is a war between 2 countries so resolve it cannot be a sprint, it is a marathon. We’ve witnessed war between countries and insurgents that resolved quickly, but that’s not the same case. Western countries made it clear they’re on it for the long time with Ukraine. So sooner hopefully not later Russia will realize it is not sustainable to continue the war. Hopefully if Biden loses the next US president would continue the same support for Ukraine. Some experts think this is Putin last play. Trying to hold on as many captured territories as possible until the next US presidency for bargaining chips.
I believe the next US elections will be a big milestone for the war indeed. But before that Ukraine can achieve big progresses too.
How "well" are we talking? A few months, sure, but further back it's pretty easy as an autocrat to just not tell people what you're planning, and the West appears to have fundamentally misread Putin's motives to start with.