MystikIncarnate

joined 1 year ago
[–] MystikIncarnate@lemmy.ca 5 points 1 month ago

Depends on the sample size.

If it's just this guy doing it, then yeah.

If it's this guy who has done the procedure 20 times with 20 successes, and another doctor who sucks, who performed the procedure 20 times with 20 fatalities, that's different.

It's likely that the sample size is much larger than one or two doctors.

[–] MystikIncarnate@lemmy.ca 5 points 1 month ago (1 children)
[–] MystikIncarnate@lemmy.ca 4 points 1 month ago

Gamblers fallacy does go both ways. There's also a thing in gambling, not part of the gamblers fallacy, more of a superstition thing, that there can be runs of, what is more or less luck. The gamblers fallacy would have you believe that after 20 successes, a failure is "due to happen". According to math, that's not the case, and in the event of something that requires skill to execute, almost nothing is just luck or statistics.

So the last one isn't so much the gamblers fallacy, if anything it would be the superstition that the run of successes will continue; however scientists will look at this more as a game of skill. While 50% of all patients who have the procedure do not survive, or whatever, the last 20 of this doctors patients have survived. Clearly their skill for the procedure is above average. Even from a statistics perspective the rate might be 50% but you're in the hands of a doctor pushing that number up to 50%, rather than dragging it down to 50%. So on all fronts, if you hear this, bluntly, you have an unknown risk level, somewhere between 50% and 0%.

[–] MystikIncarnate@lemmy.ca 4 points 1 month ago (2 children)

The sponsorships should be for companies that thrive because they make products that increase global warming (or use them), which is most companies, so I digress.

It should also be an involuntary thing. Getting a natural disaster assigned to you should be a badge of shame, and any company named for it should be obligated to help with relief efforts.

Given the negative PR and cost for providing relief, I'm betting that quite a few would clean things up pretty quickly so they don't earn the badge of shame. Maybe enough to slow or stop global climate change.

But all of this requires that we care more about people and the climate than we do about corporations and their profits. Since it's been made clear that the government is basically bought and owned by corporate interests, this will never happen.

The solution is to supplant the existing government with one that actually represents the interests of the people that live in the country, not the corporations.

[–] MystikIncarnate@lemmy.ca 1 points 1 month ago

This is the most true thing that I've read in this discussion so far. Good work. ⭐

[–] MystikIncarnate@lemmy.ca 21 points 1 month ago (3 children)

I'm sure the dude has his issues.

He might just be better at masking them, who knows... Or maybe the issues he has aren't with his mental health or physical health.

Staying physically active is a big part of maintaining your mental health, I won't argue that, but it's not the magic bullet some people want you to think it is.

[–] MystikIncarnate@lemmy.ca 6 points 1 month ago

Did Helene not eradicate all the idiots?

How are there more?

Graghhhhhh.

[–] MystikIncarnate@lemmy.ca 2 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Fair enough. I haven't used spectrum, so I have no opinion. I'm not in the right country to subscribe to their service, so there's that.

Have a good day.

[–] MystikIncarnate@lemmy.ca 1 points 1 month ago

It's that recent. Jeez. Feels like it's been a thing for months.

Wait, what day is it? WHAT YEAR IS IT?

OH GOD

[–] MystikIncarnate@lemmy.ca 1 points 1 month ago

IMO, the post is centered around proton VPN, and since that's a public VPN service, it's the focus of the discussion.

Private VPNs are a very different story.

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