this post was submitted on 02 Jan 2025
24 points (92.9% liked)

Ukraine

8394 readers
596 users here now

News and discussion related to Ukraine

🇺🇦 Sympathy for enemy combatants is prohibited.

🌻🤢No content depicting extreme violence or gore.

💥Posts containing combat footage should include [Combat] in title

🚷Combat videos containing any footage of a visible human involved must be flagged NSFW

❗ Server Rules

  1. Remember the human! (no harassment, threats, etc.)
  2. No racism or other discrimination
  3. No Nazis, QAnon or similar
  4. No porn
  5. No ads or spam (includes charities)
  6. No content against Finnish law

Donate to support Ukraine's Defense

Donate to support Humanitarian Aid


founded 2 years ago
MODERATORS
 

cross-posted from: https://beehaw.org/post/17867338

The Russian ruble tanked past 115 per USD in January, the lowest on record when excluding the immediate shock after the start of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in the first quarter of 2022, as sanctions isolated Russia from global financial and commodity markets.

The currency was halted from domestic trading against major pairs after Western nations sanctioned the Moscow Exchange, magnifying the difficulty for companies to secure hard currency and forcing the Bank of Russia to set forex prices since June.

This added pressure as China’s weakening economy limited demand for goods from Russia’s main export partner, further denting the influx of foreign exchange. The impact on government revenues from energy exports drove Moscow to partially relax the capital controls it had to prop up the ruble, letting it depreciate to support its budget deficit. Despite this, political pressure drove the CBR [Central Bank of Russia] to cut its tightening cycle short in December, compounding pressure on the currency.

top 6 comments
sorted by: hot top controversial new old
[–] recreationalcatheter@lemm.ee 7 points 1 day ago

Who is gonna bankroll all the shifty tankie-takes I see nonstop?

Maybe lemmy has a chance at survival after all 😉

[–] MrMakabar@slrpnk.net 8 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Russia has massive payments in December. Last time the National Wealth Fund shrank by $22billion and before by $37billion. Right now there are $54billion in the fund. However the Russian government has had issues raising bonds and income from exports seems to fall as well, with gas exports to the EU being cut now. Even worse the National Wealth Fund also includes the currency reserves. So Russia might have a hard time defending the rubel.

[–] thelucky8@beehaw.org 5 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Yes, they are running out of options.

Just a question: Where have you got the data from? I assume the $54billion are the total asset. According to the data I have, Russia's National Wealth Fund's liquid assets - which are supposedly more relevant when it comes to defend the currency - stand at just $31bn as per November 2024. But please correct me if you think I am mistaken.

[–] MrMakabar@slrpnk.net 4 points 2 days ago

I got it from TASS. The $31bn is the liquid yuan part. The rest is mainly gold.

https://tass.com/economy/1882913

[–] Sunshine@lemmy.ca 7 points 2 days ago (1 children)

A whole new record for the Kremlin. It won’t be long before it hits 120.

[–] rammer@sopuli.xyz 3 points 1 day ago

Before that happens Russia will likely implement policies that bring the price down to about a hundred. And then it will rise again in spite of them. Rinse and repeat.

The USD RUB comparison is tenuous at best. Ruble isn't being freely exchanged and the volumes are so low that Russia can manipulate the price. They just don't have the reserves to do it for an extended period of time. So they apply policies to achieve the same goal. But even that hasn't worked in the long term.