this post was submitted on 19 Jan 2024
2 points (52.9% liked)

politics

18986 readers
3870 users here now

Welcome to the discussion of US Politics!

Rules:

  1. Post only links to articles, Title must fairly describe link contents. If your title differs from the site’s, it should only be to add context or be more descriptive. Do not post entire articles in the body or in the comments.
  2. Articles must be relevant to politics. Links must be to quality and original content. Articles should be worth reading. Clickbait, stub articles, and rehosted or stolen content are not allowed. Check your source for Reliability and Bias here.
  3. Be civil, No violations of TOS. It’s OK to say the subject of an article is behaving like a (pejorative, pejorative). It’s NOT OK to say another USER is (pejorative). Strong language is fine, just not directed at other members. Engage in good-faith and with respect! This includes accusing another user of being a bot or paid actor. Trolling is uncivil and is grounds for removal and/or a community ban.
  4. No memes, trolling, or low-effort comments. Reposts, misinformation, off-topic, trolling, or offensive.
  5. Vote based on comment quality, not agreement. This community aims to foster discussion; please reward people for putting effort into articulating their viewpoint, even if you disagree with it.
  6. No hate speech, slurs, celebrating death, advocating violence, or abusive language. This will result in a ban. Usernames containing racist, or inappropriate slurs will be banned without warning

We ask that the users report any comment or post that violate the rules, to use critical thinking when reading, posting or commenting. Users that post off-topic spam, advocate violence, have multiple comments or posts removed, weaponize reports or violate the code of conduct will be banned.

All posts and comments will be reviewed on a case-by-case basis. This means that some content that violates the rules may be allowed, while other content that does not violate the rules may be removed. The moderators retain the right to remove any content and ban users.

That's all the rules!

Civic Links

Register To Vote

Citizenship Resource Center

Congressional Awards Program

Federal Government Agencies

Library of Congress Legislative Resources

The White House

U.S. House of Representatives

U.S. Senate

Partnered Communities:

News

World News

Business News

Political Discussion

Ask Politics

Military News

Global Politics

Moderate Politics

Progressive Politics

UK Politics

Canadian Politics

Australian Politics

New Zealand Politics

founded 1 year ago
MODERATORS
all 9 comments
sorted by: hot top controversial new old
[–] nilloc@discuss.tchncs.de 3 points 8 months ago (4 children)

Here’s list since summary bot completely missed the list:

[–] nilloc@discuss.tchncs.de 3 points 8 months ago

Elise Stefanik

The New York congresswoman has, along with Noem, long been touted as a strong female choice for Trump's running mate because of her fierce loyalty to the former president, with Trump also frequently praising her.

Oddschecker currently has her +700 (7/1) to be Trump's next running mate but suggested that she actually has "better odds of becoming vice president over Ramaswamy, despite what oddsmakers are currently predicting."

[–] nilloc@discuss.tchncs.de 3 points 8 months ago

Vivek Ramaswamy

According to Oddschecker, Ramaswamy's chances of becoming Trump's next running mate surged after the Iowa caucuses, rising from +740 (37/5), or an 11.9 percent probability to +650 (13/2), and now has a 13.3 percent implied probability.

[–] nilloc@discuss.tchncs.de 2 points 8 months ago

Ben Carson

Carson, whom Trump nominated as secretary of housing and urban development in 2017, comes in as fourth in Oddschecker's list.

However, the suggestions appeared to be more wild speculation, rather than any real indication from Trump.

Oddschecker is offering odds of +800 (8/1) on Carson being named Trump's next running mate.

[–] nilloc@discuss.tchncs.de 2 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago) (1 children)

Kristi Noem

The South Dakota governor has long been considered one of the top candidates to be Trump's pick.

According to the latest odds, Noem has a +375 (15/4) chance of becoming Trump's next running, with an implied probability of 21 percent.

[–] quindraco@lemm.ee 0 points 8 months ago

This math is some kind of war crime. 375, 15/4, and 21% are radically different numbers, and only the third one represents a probability or "chance".

15/4 appears to actually mean her odds are 15 to 4 to lose, as her odds of winning, about 21%, matches up with 4/19, i.e. 4 to 15 odds of winning.

And I have no idea what the hell 375 is supposed to mean.

[–] neptune@dmv.social 2 points 8 months ago

Ben Carson makes the list? Really? No one has mentioned his name in millenia.

I think Elise or Vivek are like. Nikki Haley probably more so than Ben Carson

[–] autotldr@lemmings.world 0 points 8 months ago (1 children)

This is the best summary I could come up with:


After Donald Trump cemented his place as the front-runner in the GOP primary with his clear win in the Iowa caucus, questions soon turned to whom the former president may pick as his 2024 running mate.

Trump has given no real indication, beyond offering small heaps of praise to certain people and ruling out any chance he would pick Mike Pence again after the pair's relationship fell apart in the wake of the January 6, 2021, riot at the U.S. Capitol.

In the wake of the Iowa caucuses, betting website Oddschecker listed what they believe are the most likely names in the running to be Trump's choice of VP in 2024.

Following Monday's Iowa caucuses, where Trump won with more than 50 percent of the vote, businessman Vivek Ramaswamy dropped out of the race and immediately endorsed the former president.

Ramaswamy has long faced speculation that his White House bid was more him vying to be Trump's potential vice president in 2024, rather than a serious run for office.

As well as a potential female running mate, there has also been talk of Trump picking a person of color to broaden his appeal in 2024, with Carson's name being touted late last year.


The original article contains 707 words, the summary contains 203 words. Saved 71%. I'm a bot and I'm open source!