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The poll of 1,165 adults was conducted Aug. 10-14 using a sample drawn from NORC’s probability-based AmeriSpeak Panel, which is designed to be representative of the U.S. population.
That shouldn't be at the end of the article after I had to click on a separate article. Poor journalistic practices.
If your point is that it's a small sample, you're in for a surprise - that's about all you need to estimate something within about 3% for the US population. If they're doing stratification and such it might be even more efficient than that.
36% is yuge
Thats still dangerous, here in hungary, orban (trump's comrade) got about 33% of voters, yet he has 2/3 of delegates, which means total control, as we have a fokd up electoral system, and the opposition votes are stayed home. Meanwhile hungary have skyhigh, record high inflation, budget cuts, tax raises, the national currency value is abysmal, and the corruption is visible from the Moon...
While this is very heartening to read, here's some fun American political numbers games for you :
Population of North Dakota: 780 Thousand souls
Population of California: 40 Million souls
both North Dakota and California are entitled to exactly 2 Senators each to represent their interests equally
As we've seen in plenty of Presidential elections since 2000 it matter where the votes are cast, and in what concentration, opposed to how many overall votes got towards any particular Presidential candidate
They broke it out as 53% wouldn't support him if he's the GOP nominee, and another 11% wouldn't support him in November 2024.
...what's the difference between those two things?
Yeah, that confused me as well. I had to read that 3 times to figure out the distinction.
53% of Americans say they would definitely not support him if he’s the GOP nominee, and another 11% say they probably would not back him in November 2024.
"the GOP nominee" and "in November 2024" both refer to the same thing, but the phrasing change distracts from the definitely/probably thing.
Meaningless poll because the popular vote doesn't determine who becomes president. What matters is what percentage of the votes he gets in swing states.
The answer to trump isn't a right winger responsible for mass incarceration of black people masquerading as progressive expanding the military industrial complex and not supporting workers unions.
192 millions US citizens have replied to this poll ???
I'll take it a step further and not support anyone in dc. There's not an honest person to be found in politics.