this post was submitted on 26 Feb 2023
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I think people are misunderstanding this article.
I don't agree with it, but what the author is saying is that the idea of a single federated network is already dead, and that instead, the future will be smaller islands of instances that federate with each other but are insular within themselves.
And we already see that to some extent, with a rather sharp division between the freeze peach instances and the rest of the Fediverse. But that's not going to keep happening at smaller and smaller levels, because the reason defederation happens with any given instance is to maintain a feed consistent with that communities values. Once that is achieved, further defederating just diminishes community engagement
Yes, I think people should skip to the "We have to keep going" section of the article to put the previous text in better context.