Currently we aren't at a point, where the fascists(AfD) gonna form a coalition. Its very likely that the conservatives(CDU) will be the leading party. However, they still have to get a majority so they will have to form a coalition with either the populist authoritarian right(BSW), the green party or the social democrats(SPD). The liberals(FDP) and the left may not pass the 5% hurdle and therefore won't have any influence on the politics. FDP, SPD, and the green party are the currently governing Partys(even tho the FDP blasted the coalition and doesn't do anything anymore) Currently it may be possible that CDU and SPD(which have ruled a lot of times before) are able to form a coalition by themselves, although it currently isn't very likely that this is possible. So they need a third party to coalate with. This will be either the AfD (they currently aren't a a point where they will work together), the greens or BSW. The chancellor candidate for the CDU announced that he doesn't want to coalate with those, so its probably going to be CDU, SPD and BSW. In theory the SPD should be able to hold back the CDU from destroying alle progressive work that has been done in the past 4 years, but sadly they have a history of betraying everyone to be able to govern for 4 more years.

So in short, we will likely have a right conservative government, but we won't have fascists(yet). It will devinetively get worse the next 4 years.

[–] Sas@beehaw.org 5 points 2 days ago

I don't trust Merz to honour his word to not coalate with the AFD if it gets him into power. Their election program is pretty much the same as the AFD and they're just pretending for people who are not looking into it that they're not the same