this post was submitted on 20 Dec 2024
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Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.

As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades: Graph of temperature as observed with significant warming, and simulated without added greenhouse gases and other anthropogentic changes, which shows no significant warming

How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world: IPCC AR6 Figure 2 - Thee bar charts: first chart: how much each gas has warmed the world. About 1C of total warming. Second chart: about 1.5C of total warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases, offset by 0.4C of cooling from aerosols and negligible influence from changes to solar output, volcanoes, and internal variability. Third chart: about 1.25C of warming from CO2, 0.5C from methane, and a bunch more in small quantities from other gases. About 0.5C of cooling with large error bars from SO2.

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Trump Threatens Tariffs If EU Doesn’t Buy More US Oil and Gas (www.bloomberg.com)
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[–] futatorius@lemm.ee 3 points 3 days ago (1 children)

The chart linked to the "soaring Russian economy" link shows the Ruble exchange rate, which says very little about the state of the overall Russian economy, except foreign exchange. And that exchange-rate chart shows the value of the Ruble doing down the shitter.

So I'm guessing you were being sarcastic.

[–] aasatru@kbin.earth 2 points 3 days ago

Yes, I was being sarcastic. A strong currency is generally associated with a strong economy. The Russians managed to keep the ruble strong the first year of the war, somewhat stable in the second. The last three months have been rather turbulent.

It of course affects the Russian man in the street directly, foreign goods (whatever is still imported) get more expensive. It could be beneficial for exports, but it seems their energy business is not going so great either.

So yeah, I was indeed being sarcastic. As long as they have energy to export they will have some income, but it has been a long time since the Russian economy looked worse.

That's my analysis though. According to a coughing, cold sweating Putin, all is going just great.

Whether it's me or Putin who are correct on this one, a weak ruble to the dollar means Russians will struggle to afford imported goods from the US. So they are not going to be a very profitable trade partner any time soon.