this post was submitted on 24 Nov 2024
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246
Trump tariffs to push down U.S. growth ‘a great deal' going into 2026, Morgan Stanley warns (www.nbcconnecticut.com)
submitted 1 month ago by RememberTheApollo_@lemmy.world to c/politics@lemmy.world
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Donald Trump's proposed tariffs will dent U.S. economic growth going into 2026, said Morgan Stanley's chief global economist Seth Carpenter.

President-elect Trump has stated that he intends to impose a blanket tariff of 10% to 20% on all imports, along with extra tariffs ranging from 60% to 100% on goods imported from China. During the September Presidential debate, he described this approach as a means to extract funds from competing countries.

There is also a question of when and how swiftly these tariffs get implemented. In the event that they are enacted all at once, they could result in a "big negative shock" to the economy, Carpenter told CNBC's Sri Jegarajah on the sidelines of Morgan Stanley's annual Asia Pacific Summit in Singapore.

Carpenter, who maintained Morgan Stanley's base case of these tariffs being spread over 2025, said they would lead to higher inflation.

"Then into 2026, we think growth starts to come down a great deal in the U.S. because of those tariffs and some of the other policies," he cautioned.

"Very clear, tariffs push up inflation. Very clear, tariffs are a drag on growth for the U.S., not just for the countries that the tariffs are put on," Carpenter added.

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[–] halcyoncmdr@lemmy.world 8 points 1 month ago

He won't be able to do any of the dumb shit he promised with Executive Order alone.

He won't need to. He's got Congress and the Supreme Court to do what he wants.