this post was submitted on 03 Oct 2024
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Sorry to be so negative, but people being angry, still requires them to be organized and work on overthrowing Putin. Unfortunately Putin killed all opposition leaders.
This makes Putin falling more likely, but it needs a spark of hope and that will be hard to find in Russia.
I don't expect a popular revolution, more like a series of coups. Right now it doesn't happen, because Putin is still preferable to instability for the Russian elites. Once that's no longer true, I'd think any kleptocrat would be in danger.
In a way, that's actually more negative than what you said. I suppose he could just give up on the war, too, but Kamil Galeev says that's politically impossible and he's actually Russian, while I'm just a vaguely international Westerner.