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I'm convinced Israel is pushing as hard as they can because they know they'll either 1) continue getting the weapons and, therefore, tacit endorsement of their actions from/by the US, or 2) Biden actually tries to embargo arms to Israel, thereby losing the election for Harris, and then they'll get the weapons and explicit endorsement from Trump in a few months.
Politically, the only way they lose is if they stop being aggressive and genocidal, because that would increase the chance of a Harris victory, which means they then might not get to keep picking fights and a Harris administration with four years in front of them might very well enact an arms embargo, hurting Israel's military in the much longer term.
Sadly, the only long-term chance of the US doing something about Israel will need to be a) after the election, and b) only if Harris wins. Otherwise Trump will basically allow them to double down on everything they're doing with even less outcry. Standing on principle here actually increases the harm to Lebanon and Palestine in the long term.
The US will be busy dealing with mass deportations, the carving out and amputation of many federal departments, and the jailing of opposition politicians. And that's before it possibly gets worse. So even the limited outcry and opposition in the US will decrease with a Trump victory.
Public polling is showing that Harris would get a big boost in voter support if she and Biden went for a weapons embargo.
Netanyahu wants Trump as President. If the Biden Administration keeps giving Israel a Carte Blanche as they step it their crimes against humanity, which most democratic voters see as a failure of the Biden Administration, that continued support is much more likely to be a spoiler for Harris.
The best course of action would have been to pivot many months ago, the next best is to pivot now.
Source?
edit: It's absolutely amazing to me what y'all will downvote.
This has been true for over half a year at this point.
It is a very well known fact of polling right now.
Asking for a source at this point is more likely to be a bad faith attempt to throw doubt on a well known true thing then it is to be an actual request for information.