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Conservative columnist predicts Trump's 'October surprise' — and it's bad for J.D. Vance
(www.rawstory.com)
this post was submitted on 25 Aug 2024
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Isn't it too late to change VP candidate? I saw speculation on this before and the issues were around the need to reconvene delegates for the RNC to approve the change and also to be on the ballot? Early voting starts in September so October is also too late?
The deadline is when ballots are printed/state laws and what political parties do is according to custom not law. If the RNC, or even just the Trump campaign, reached out to each states' election committee it could register the new information then it just needs to be mindful of state laws.
Now, let's say Trump tries this shit in mid October- people like me (overseas mail in voters) will already have our ballots so our vote will be recorded for (assuming I voted Republican which I'm fucking not) Trump/Vance, if the majority of a state submits a ballot like that the laws around faithless delegates might not allow electors to actually cast their ballots for whatever the ticket is. This could absolutely cause a constitutional crisis.
It could also happen that Trump/Kennedy gets 43% of the votes in a state, Trump/Vance gets 10% of the votes, and Harris/Walz gets 47% of the votes... this would likely be a state constitutional crisis.
I suspect Trump isn't going to replace Vance because, for logistical reasons, he'd want to have done it as soon as fucking possible to.
A lot of times what state parties do according to their charters are because that's what's required by what state law says. Sometimes the things State parties did as customs were enacted into statutes. Election law is a mishmash. Just with regard to your first paragraph, I don't think you can say anything is a brightline rule without going state by state.