this post was submitted on 06 Jul 2023
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Embrace, extend, extinguish
They can do that without federating. In the first 7 hours of Threads being open, they got 10 million users. There's nothing additional they can do to "extinguish" the fediverse simply by being inside it.
Any fediverse users who prefer Threads are going to go there anyway - remember, you have to create a new account on each server already! And anyone who detests Meta is going to stay in the fediverse regardless. They're here now, when the fediverse is minuscule. Nothing Meta can do is going to make the fediverse smaller.
They can flood the fediverse with mediocre content, ads via posts, and use both to scrape replies to create even more data about users. They can do this through existing instances In theory, but it would be far easier to federated and subscribe to instances to pull in the data to their own instance and being easier means it is more likely.
Making the fediverse bigger to harvest more data is a net loss for the fediverse.