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To be fair, with a website as huge as reddit, a 25% or even 50% decrease in user activity probably won't be that noticeable from someone like us. Instead of 2 million posts a day, it's not now 1 million. Or instead of 500k, it's 250k. None of those are knew we could feasibly differentiate.
Maybe if you sit on r/all and keep track of how fast new posts are moving, but even then, the algorithm may still just move the same number of posts up and down the main pages. So even then, it would be hard to tell if usage is down.
Now obviously there's no way it's down that much. It's significantly lower. But I'm just saying even if we pretend that it was down that much, it would look like business as usual.
Also, either way, I'm still glad to find this place. It feels nicer and offers what I wanted in a way reddit couldn't.
A saw a post a while back commenting on how many upvotes it was taking to get onto the front page of r/all having dropped, but not sure if there is any way to see stats from before API changes now.
One of the people on (I think) modcoord noted that for years reddit has allowed moderators to look at traffic stats for their subreddit. And that the traffic stats are no longer available; the last day they could access was ... June 30.
I'm sure that's just a coincidence, though ...
The other method was looking at how many people are "here now" in each sub
Yeah you're right that it wouldn't be immediately noticeable but just because a few thousands of us jumped to Lemmy doesn't mean there is any significant change on reddit. I checked on my most active communities and all the usual suspects are there, posting and commenting as usual. The amount of people that left reddit are probably a fraction of a percent.
The real question is how many power users and moderators left, the first are the ones that produce the most content, the second are the ones that prevent the place turning into a shithole. If an important fraction of those left, it WILL impact the site.
Precisely, the importance is if the mods stick around or not.
One sub I was in the Mod basically said a few weeks ago 'I've had it with this, no offense guys but just run it how you want from now on'I'm retiring'. The users didn't turn it into a protest sub but somehow it's worse than that because it's repetitive and boring.
So there's a few old hands sticking around but I doubt there'll be new people joining it. And I think that will be true for a lot of unmoderated subs, they won't all get full of porn and spam, they'll just become much less interesting
Out of the hundreds of millions of redditors i'm sure some people will pick up the slack of content creation and moderation. Now will they do a good enough job ? I don't know, i bet spez is betting they will, but only time will tell.