this post was submitted on 11 Feb 2024
70 points (96.1% liked)

Showerthoughts

30049 readers
591 users here now

A "Showerthought" is a simple term used to describe the thoughts that pop into your head while you're doing everyday things like taking a shower, driving, or just daydreaming. A showerthought should offer a unique perspective on an ordinary part of life.

Rules

  1. All posts must be showerthoughts
  2. The entire showerthought must be in the title
  3. Avoid politics
    • 3.1) NEW RULE as of 5 Nov 2024, trying it out
    • 3.2) Political posts often end up being circle jerks (not offering unique perspective) or enflaming (too much work for mods).
    • 3.3) Try c/politicaldiscussion, volunteer as a mod here, or start your own community.
  4. Posts must be original/unique
  5. Adhere to Lemmy's Code of Conduct

founded 2 years ago
MODERATORS
vatlark@lemmy.world
forkball@lemmy.world
quinten@lemmy.world
Thekingoflorda@lemmy.world
70
The Gambler's Fallacy makes sense logically, but it feels so wrong emotionally. (lemmy.world)
submitted 10 months ago by alt_total_loser@lemmy.world to c/showerthoughts@lemmy.world
51 comments fedilink hide all child comments
 

I can accept the fact that on a Roulette wheel (as long as there are no defects or imbalances in the wheel or ball) that the odds are the same each spin and previous spin outcomes have no influence over the current spin. However, if I see black come up 32 times in a row I am betting on red for the next spin.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacy

The Gambler's Fallacy is Really Odd

you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
[–] dichotomiker@dresden.network 4 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago)

@ImplyingImplications @alt_total_loser I think, probabilities are high, this includes those who confirm their proofs.

Often the problem descriptions suffer from equivocation and unclear process frame.

https://dresden.network/@dichotomiker/111917794923942133

#babylonianLinguisticConfusion