this post was submitted on 15 Dec 2023
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A German foundation has said it will no longer be awarding a prize for political thinking to a leading Russian-American journalist after criticizing as “unacceptable” a recent essay by the writer in which they made a comparison between Gaza and a Jewish ghetto in Nazi-occupied Europe.

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[–] veganpizza69@lemmy.world 14 points 9 months ago (12 children)

100 years from now the MENA region will be uninhabitable due to climate heating and I doubt that anyone will want to visit it in some spacesuit.

[–] Meowoem@sh.itjust.works 7 points 9 months ago (10 children)

That's not what any of the worst case scenario in climate studies I've seen seem to think, what are you basing it on?

[–] veganpizza69@lemmy.world 4 points 9 months ago (9 children)
[–] blanketswithsmallpox@kbin.social 11 points 9 months ago (1 children)

For the lazy, it's their 6th, 7th, and 8th links.

Projected Air Temperature Extremes and Maximum Heat Conditions Over the Middle-East-North Africa (MENA) Region | Earth Systems and Environment

Climate change projections for the Middle East–North Africa domain with COSMO-CLM at different spatial resolutions - ScienceDirect

Climate Change and Weather Extremes in the Eastern Mediterranean and Middle East - Zittis - 2022 - Reviews of Geophysics - Wiley Online Library

[–] veganpizza69@lemmy.world 2 points 9 months ago

This one also is relevant: Greatly enhanced risk to humans as a consequence of empirically determined lower moist heat stress tolerance | PNAS

Parts of the Middle East and the Indus River Valley experience brief exceedances with only 1.5 °C warming.

We're going to start seeing that in about a decade. You should imagine scale and intensity growing over time.

You should also consider migration at least within the region. That's not easy to model, but you can start by looking at the role of climate heating and drought in Syria.

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