this post was submitted on 23 Jun 2023
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I’m not so sure about it.
Reddit is one of the biggest site on the web, has millions of users and thousands of communities that alone are much bigger than any of it’s alternatives.
People using third party apps are a small minority and in a month things will be much calmer.
However, I can really see lemmy and kbin as an alternative in a few years if the people moving now stick around. Not only that but with better content also (like Reddit a few years ago).
I don't think they will lose a lot of users on 1st of July. But some moderators will leave, others will continue with shitty tools that make their job hard. Overall, there will be more spam and more rule-breaking comments. Whether it will be bad enough to make people leave the site at some point, I don't know.
It's definitely a slow bleed, but most people aren't content creators or visionaries. They will migrate with time, we just need the tools here and things will grow.
I have no doubt that federation will lead to the best network of positive forums
Yeah, unless whoever is paying for it stops funding it or something dramatic happens, I can't imagine there will be a "Digg v4" day where everyone just decides to leave. I'm sure it'll be around a while, but I do think Reddit has peaked in terms of it's cultural relevancy.
If lol? I think it is obvious that they will already - at least for anything tech or dev related for sure and that will be enough to sustain it because obviously those same people have other interests as well, and will attract gamers and the rest. It may take time for the Vinn diagrams to all align with each other but the rest will come eventually.
How reddit itself formed.. tech the tech centric audience from Digg and slowly everyone came along with them - even if they didn't like the transition initially. Reddit has literally committed suicide whether spez realizes it or not. I think obviously people like Mark Zuckerberg and the guy ahead of twitter - pre-elon saw it coming, why bluesky exists and why Facebook wants to join as well before they become irrelevant.
Spez is a fool who can't see past his own nose and just wants to cash out by IPO'ing - but the thing is he's both too late and mishandled the IPO already. He will get the absolute smallest pay day of all the platforms that have gone public in any way imho. I am sure he'll make out fine still, but it will be a small pittance that it could have been had he shown an ounce of respect for the reddit community.
facebook is too.
but anyone with half a brain has left or minimalized their interaction with the site. it's a dinosaur of a site compared to where it was in the 2000s.
reddit will be the same in a few years. another dinosaur lumbering around, but doing nothing worthwhile for moving the internet forward or being a space for active and engaged users.
That's more or less my take on it, the average Redditor just doesn't give a shit about any of this, they just wanna get their daily/hourly dose of Reddit and that's it. All of the outrage on the bigger subreddits was fine and all, but the people in the smaller, more niche and local subreddits just don't care all that much, the vast majority of them will keep using the site.
Which is just as well because the average Redditor is an insufferable mouthbreather.
I think there will be a considerable movement away from Reddit. It might not be very huge in numbers but it will be a lot if the users who are most engaged and contribute a lot of content and time as moderators. These are the people who help create a quality experience for the casual users that seem to be all that counts these days. Losing them will make for a worse experience overall and this hurt the site and ultimately the bottom line.
Maybe Reddit dies; maybe it lives on in some new form. I don't care now that I've found a better alternative. Let the bots, trolls, and low/no-effort knuckle-draggers have it. Maybe it'll act as a moron-sink and keep them away from polite company.