this post was submitted on 12 Oct 2023
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The models/simulations are falsified by the evidence:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/sep/08/antarctica-warming-much-faster-than-models-predicted-in-deeply-concerning-sign-for-sea-levels
Notice that that darkens the planet's albedo, accelerating the progression of ClimatePunctuation/GlobalWarming...
and that the models/simulations contradict the evidence, saying that what happened wouldn't happen.
The real & correct prediction is that we have already put 5-6C global-warming's worth of CO2 into the atmosphere, AND we have also added other greenhouse gasses, like methane, & sulfur-hexafluoride.
Here is the robust fact:
https://www.nature.com/articles/nature19798
The powerlaw they discovered that governs the interglacial temperatures is this:
280ppm is a good pre-industrial CO2 measure.
At that point, the CO2 level has been doubled.
CO2 acts like the Gate in a bipolar transistor: the tiny current you put into the gate, the HUGE current flows through the Source-Drain part of the transistor.
Increase the CO2, & that increases the moisture in the atmosphere, which MASSIVELY increases the amount of retained solar heat.
Pretending that +2C is attainable, now, is delusional.
I'm no longer certain that there will be ANY life around the equator, in 1 century, at or near the surface.
At least the shareholders got rich.
Won't anybody think of the shareholders‽