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I'm wondering how they concluded that. I'm not saying it isn't possible or that the guy is innocent, but if you watch enough true crime shows, you know that sometimes police get pretty overzealous (especially in infant deaths).
As a parent, I also know kids will do all kinds of stupid things and if the father left his 1 1/2 year old and infant together like that, who knows. Was it stupid to leave them alone for 10 minutes? Definitely. I bet there won't be a day in that guy's life that he doesn't regret that action and perhaps there should be manslaughter charges or something like that (negligent homicide?).
The accusation sounds kind of far fetched though, and I'm not sure how they'll make anything beyond a circumstantial case there.
Probably determined how the wipe was put down the throat that the 18month old wasn't capable of doing it. Also says they were left alone for 30 mins not 10, and he took his time calling 911. Not sure how they know that though. Probably a lot of stuff they can't say until it goes to court. If they could prove he intended to kill the kid he would've gotten a more serious charge, so yeah he will probably just end up with some sort of negligence charge causing the child's death.
They must believe they have enough evidence to charge. Although, I'm in the UK and am perhaps forgetting how rare it is to actually get a trial in the US... But, if the guy does not take a plea deal, it will come out in court.
If they are right, he was willing to have the 18 month old live the rest of their life believing they killed their sibling. I hope it's provable beyond reasonable doubt. Awful case.