this post was submitted on 13 Jun 2023
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Politics

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Article from a few weeks ago, but now that G. Elliott Morris is taking over without Nate's models, I'm curious what lemmy's think about political polling analysis from FiveThirtyEight?

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[–] nodester@partizle.com 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

That's a problem that could emerge with any system used to predict the outcome of any election.

If you make a prediction, you're arguably telling people not to vote.

[–] TechnologyClassroom@partizle.com 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

I think it was the elitist confidence that the media including 538 applied to 538.

[–] nodester@partizle.com 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

So confidently predicting an outcome is the problem?

538 is just data-backed fortune-telling.