Did you update your system other than your nvidia driver? Like from fedora 37 to 38
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I usually install updates as they pop up: drivers, apps, whatever. Between the 2 days of TF2 working and then TF2 not working, I'm pretty sure there wasn't any real updates.
I’d recommend installing the flatpak. Tf2 stopped working for me when I upgraded to fedora 38. The flatpak seems to fix whatever dependency issue is causing it. It also fixes portal 2 and Gmod cause those also stopped launching on f38.
Verify your game files and clear your shader caches and such. Looks like you might have some corrupted files in there from the looks of those file errors.
I just tried to clear cache and verified the game files again but I get the same results when trying to launch the game.