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Nate Silver Floats Biden Drop Out As President’s Approval Rating Sinks to New ‘All-Time Low’ (www.mediaite.com)

submitted 3 weeks ago by return2ozma@lemmy.world to c/usa@lemmy.ml

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[–] Spitzspot@lemmings.world 5 points 3 weeks ago (3 children)

Remind me how his 2016 prediction worked out.

[–] FauxPseudo@lemmy.world 5 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

They worked within the margins of error. He didn't say Hillary would win. He said there was a about a 7 in 8 chance she would win. And when you look at the numbers by state and figure out how many votes made a difference in the electorial college numbers he was remarkably accurate. Don't blame him for most of the country not knowing how statistics work. Blame people for not voting because they don't understand statistics.

[–] Nollij@sopuli.xyz 6 points 3 weeks ago

Adding to this, 538 gave Trump a higher probability than most pundits, and were mocked (pre-election) for doing so

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