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An Early Warning That Policing May Be in Decline | Police departments across the country are solving far fewer crimes than they did before 2020.
(www.nytimes.com)
While headlines tend to focus on falling clearance rates in large liberal cities, the decline occurred nationwide in both red and blue cities, counties and states. The violent crime clearance rate, for example, fell considerably between 2019 to 2022 in big cities, which tend to be led by Democrats, as well as in small cities and suburban and rural counties, which tend to be led by Republicans.
It's not necessarily the case though that fewer crimes are being actually "solved," in the most precise sense of the term.
It could be that the current heightened interest in police oversight and focus on investigation of (and huge lawsuit payouts as a consequence of) wrongdoing by the police has made it less likely that people will be railroaded/framed for crimes they didn't actually commit, so the rate at which crimes are marked as solved has declined, even as the rate at which they actually are solved hasn't.
While this certainly sounds plausible, even rational and perfectly logical, it's also the exact sort of argument that could easily be spurious. Now, i'm not making that accusation (nor do mean to imply it), but do you happen to have any data backing up this assertion?
Eh?
I said that it's "not necessarily the case that" one thing and "it could be that" something else.
Logic and plausibilty are all that's necessary.
when asking for evidence, i didn't expect equivocation and, "it's just a guess, bro," hand-waving in response-- see, this is why i was skeptical and asked.
no. evidence is necessary. otherwise, it's just speculation, and that's just not good enough.
What the fuck are you on about?
That's everything I said, right there. What part of it are you not understanding?
Of course it's fucking speculation! What the fuck else did you think it was?!
It would be equivocation if there was a disjunct between the intended meaning of what I said at one point and the intended meaning of the same thing at some other point.
But I've been entirely consistent in what I've said. The disjunct is between what YOU thought I meant and what I actually said, and that's your fucking problem - not mine.
Yeah, I’m not reading that hissy fit. When you make assertions, back it up with evidence. If it’s just a guess, say so.
They did say so, from the start.
Then it should be easy for you to show me the quote where they said it was just guess.
“It could be” is a direct quote from their second sentence.
So you admit that they didn’t say, “it’s just a guess.” Why did you lie then and claim they did?
Lol, good job 👍
This isn’t my job. Are you getting paid for this?
Yeah, you got me. I’m the shill for reading comprehension.
It’s not rich work
You got yourself for wasting your time on this
Yeah, that’s why I said good job.
I got covid, baby. Nothing but time over here.
That didn’t make any sense. Perhaps you should have a lie down, lol
Feel better. Covid sucks.
There’s the reading comprehension 😉
yeah, covid can mess with your head, especially when it keeps you up all night coughing
Luckily I’ve got no symptoms 👉😎👉