this post was submitted on 19 Jun 2023
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UK Politics

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[–] spacedogroy@feddit.uk 10 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (5 children)

If they started offering help it would undermine the BoE's strategy and likely open up a can of worms. I say this as someone having bought a property in 2021 and remortgaging this year.

The BoE have one lever they can pull and it's labelled "interest rates go up".

Edit: tbh, I'm more concerned with the housing market crashing due to the high interest rates making ownership at the current prices unaffordable. I suspect when we remortgage again we'll be paying the same amount of interest or higher due to being moved an LTV banding, which will be depressing.

[–] Jai1@feddit.uk 4 points 1 year ago (4 children)

Inflation is helping house prices a lot at the moment. I think we will see a modest drop in prices around 10% in total but which will amount to 25-30% in real terms due to inflation. Hard to see drops much greater than that happening due to the supply constraints making rental costs also very high.

[–] Mjb@feddit.uk 4 points 1 year ago (1 children)

There's been a thousand predictions of house prices falling over the past decade for a hundred reasons, and every single one falls over the fact we have a drastic shortage of housing and no credible plan to increase the speed we build them.

25-30% in real terms is pure fantasy pulled from your arse and it'll never happen, not even close. Does Lemmy have a remindme bot so I can come back in 6/12 months and point this out?

[–] Jai1@feddit.uk 4 points 1 year ago

They are already down 13% in real terms since March 2022.

I didn’t pick this number from nowhere in this opinion piece you have a couple of expert predictions in the 20-35% range.

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