this post was submitted on 07 Jun 2023
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I think this all depends on their reaction to the blackout planned for the 12th. If Reddit starts taking over the default/large subs that shut down it's 100% going to crash and burn. Not backing down on their API changes I think is an optimistic 60/40 in favor of Reddit chugging along albeit just a bit crappier for it all. (The 40% being a Digg situation that hopefully blows up their IPO plans and VC funding.)
I can certainly see Reddit's admins staging a hostile takeover of all large subreddits, banhammering any moderator who takes part in the blackout, and installing their own yes-men.
But can you imagine the PR shitshow that would occur if Reddit suddenly deposed its most powerful users? Imagine if a major content creator like Linus Tech Tips, SomeOrdinaryGamers, Penguinz0 or Asmongold jumped on the 'fuck Reddit' bandwagon. It would be a major PR boost for any competitor.
Maybe I'm pessimistic but I have little to no faith that the blackout, especially if only 2 days for some subreddits, will have any impact at all. Most likely what will happen is everyone will just scroll like normal, get bored with no content and do something else. They'll come back a few days later and everything will be normal. Most people probably really don't even care, unfortunately. :/
For reddit itself, I think they're going with game plan of throwing this shit out there and then going radio silent knowing that nothing is really going to happen. For them, no PR is probably the best move really.
I think a lot of the old core group will actually end up leaving by the end of this business. The question is will it matter. Can the site be successful as it transform itself into an also-ran tiktok-clone?
The good news is that those of us who move on won't have to worry about it anymore.
I know that as soon as baconreader dies, my 14 year stint on reddit is over. I'm guessing I'm not alone and those using RIF and Apollo are also going away.
I hope lemmy is ready :D
You and me, brother. I've used Baconreader for over a decade and it was a great experience, but it's time to move on.
I'll drink to that!
I'm treating reddit like an ex. Good luck, but not my problem anymore. If it succeeds, good for them. If it doesn't, I probably won't find out. I've got other things I rather focus on.
Spez is going to do an AMA tomorrow. That's definitely going to be interesting...
It might be interesting to read about it on here because I'm not going back there.
I see that as a good thing. I don't want all of reddit coming here and ruinng the atmosphere of this place.
I'm from reddit exodus, I was on fedi before. just moderate those evil and ban em from our nice communities.